“INFORMATION DISORDER” CAMPAIGNS IN NATURAL HAZARDS AND EXTREME EVENTS – A FORM OF FOREIGN INFLUENCE AND A HYBRID THREAT?

Authors

  • FELIPE PATHÉ DUARTE

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26619/1647-7251.15.1.18

Keywords:

Information disorder campaigns, rumours, online social media platforms, natural hazards, extreme events, disaster communications, hybrid threats, wildfires, COVID-19

Abstract

The objective is to prove that the nexus of "information disorder” campaigns, through rumours, conspiracy theories, and natural hazards/extreme events, may allow powerful and frequent foreign influence campaigns against communities in their most vulnerable situation. It can be a form of hybrid threat. In other words, this paper aims to understand how social media platforms can be weaponised through "information disorder" campaigns, particularly during extreme events. It was considered two examples where information disorder had a solid social and political impact, with security consequences – during natural hazards and extreme public health events. “Information disorder” campaigns, during extreme events and disasters, through social media platforms can immediately impact political, geopolitical and security dynamics. It is information whose veracity is indisputable but leads to distorted conclusions and can subvert the current political environment. Information is multiplied at high speed and low cost, allowing the dissemination of false information to cement political and social division and influence different decision-making procedures. This type of operation could be more than a question of strategic communication. It is a threat to democracies that may place communication at the heart of a geopolitical and security strategy. The nexus, “information disorder," campaigns for natural hazards and extreme events favour influence campaigns against communities in their most vulnerable situation.

Author Biography

FELIPE PATHÉ DUARTE

PhD, is researcher and assistant professor at the NOVA School of Law, where he coordinates the Master's Degree and the PhD in Law and Security (Portugal) and the Higher Institute of Police Sciences and Internal Security. Felipe is vice-director of the board of the Research Centre on Law and Society (CEDIS) and the coordinator of the War & Law LAB Knowledge Centre, from the NOVA School of Law. He is a senior security and geopolitical risk analyst consultant at VisionWare, an information security private company. He is also an analyst for international security at RTP (public service broadcasting). Felipe was a visiting fellow at Oxford University and the leading US think tank, the Center for Strategic and International Studies, in Washington DC. He was a Fulbright fellow at the US National Security Policymaking Program of the US State Department. Felipe lectures at the Portuguese Institute of Higher Military Studies and the European Union Agency for Law Enforcement Training. Felipe was also a consultant for the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime to Counter-Violent Extremism in Mozambique (Cabo Delgado) and the Council of Europe for social media and hybrid threats.

Published

2024-05-27

Issue

Section

ARTICLES