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THE UK’S RESET DIPLOMACY TOWARDS THE EU: IMPLICATIONS FOR PEACE
ON THE KOREAN PENINSULA IN THE ERA OF POLYCRISIS
EUICHAN SHIN
081syc@naver.com
Assistant Professor at the Department of European Studies, Dongduk Women’s University, Seoul
(South Korea). Euichan Shin is Assistant Professor at the Department of European Studies at
Dongduk Women’s University. He received his PhD in International Area Studies with a
specialization in the European Union (EU) from Hankuk University of Foreign Studies.
Abstract
This article examines the United Kingdom’s post-Brexit reset diplomacy toward the European
Union and explores its implications for peace and security on the Korean Peninsula in the era
of polycrisis. Moving beyond the binary framing of rupture versus reversal, it argues that the
reset represents a form of pragmatic diplomacy characterised by selective and functionally
bounded cooperation conducted within enduring political and legal constraints. Conceptually,
the article links polycrisis to a diplomatic environment in which adaptability, risk management,
and issue-specific coordination take precedence, understanding it not merely as the
coexistence of multiple crises but as their interaction across security, economic, and
institutional domains that structurally limits diplomatic choice. Empirically, it shows how the
UKEU reset has unfolded through incremental initiatives aimed at stabilising interaction in
specific policy areas, while deliberately avoiding the reopening of foundational disputes
associated with Brexit. Building on this analysis, the article extends its framework to the
Korean Peninsula, which is similarly shaped by interacting security dilemmas, great-power
competition, contested sanctions governance, and geoeconomic fragmentation. Rather than
proposing the UKEU reset as a transferable policy model, it identifies broader analytical
lessons on diplomacy under persistent structural constraint, arguing that peace and security
are more plausibly advanced through multi-vector, issue-specific engagement and strategies
of risk containment than through comprehensive settlement efforts or assumptions of
institutional convergence.
Keywords
Polycrisis, Pragmatic diplomacy, UKEU reset, Institutional constraints, Korean Peninsula
peace.
Resumo
Este artigo analisa a reorientação da diplomacia do Reino Unido em relação à União Europeia
após o Brexit e explora as suas implicações para a paz e a segurança na Península da Coreia
na era da policrise. Ultrapassando o enquadramento binário entre rutura e reversão, defende
que essa reorientação representa uma forma de diplomacia pragmática, caracterizada por
uma cooperação seletiva e funcionalmente delimitada, conduzida dentro de restrições políticas
e jurídicas duradouras. Conceitualmente, o artigo associa a policrise a um ambiente
diplomático em que a adaptabilidade, a gestão de riscos e a coordenação específica em torno
de questões específicas têm precedência, entendendo-a não apenas como a coexistência de
múltiplas crises, mas como a sua interação nos domínios da segurança, da economia e das
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on the Korean Peninsula in the Era of Polycrisis
Euichan Shin
59
instituições, o que limita estruturalmente as opções diplomáticas. Empiricamente, mostra
como o reinício das relações entre o Reino Unido e a UE se desenrolou através de iniciativas
incrementais destinadas a estabilizar a interação em áreas políticas específicas, evitando
deliberadamente a reabertura de disputas fundamentais associadas ao Brexit. Com base nesta
análise, o artigo alarga o seu quadro à Península Coreana, que é moldada de forma
semelhante por dilemas de segurança interativos, competição entre grandes potências,
governação contestada das sanções e fragmentação geoeconómica. Em vez de propor o
reajustamento das relações entre o Reino Unido e a UE como um modelo de política
transferível, identifica lições analíticas mais amplas sobre a diplomacia sob restrições
estruturais persistentes, argumentando que a paz e a segurança são promovidas de forma
mais plausível através de um envolvimento multivetorial e específico a cada questão e de
estratégias de contenção de riscos do que através de esforços de resolução abrangentes ou
pressupostos de convergência institucional.
Palavras-chave
Policrise, Diplomacia pragmática, Reajustamento das relações entre o Reino Unido e a UE,
Restrições institucionais, Paz na Península Coreana.
How to cite this article
Shin, Euichan (2026). The UK’s Reset Diplomacy Towards the EU: Implications for Peace on the
Korean Peninsula in the Era of Polycrisis. Janus.net, e-journal of international relations VOL. 17 Nº.
1, TD 1 Thematic Dossier The Korean Peninsula in a Global Context: Security, Culture, and
Transnational Perspectives, June 2026, pp. 58-75. DOI https://doi.org/10.26619/1647-
7251.DT0426.4
Article submitted on December 31, 2025 and accepted for publication on February 9,
2026.
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The UK’s Reset Diplomacy Towards the EU: Implications for Peace
on the Korean Peninsula in the Era of Polycrisis
Euichan Shin
60
THE UK’S RESET DIPLOMACY TOWARDS THE EU: IMPLICATIONS
FOR PEACE ON THE KOREAN PENINSULA IN THE ERA OF
POLYCRISIS
EUICHAN SHIN
Introduction
The post-Brexit trajectory of the United Kingdom’s relationship with the European Union
(EU) has frequently been interpreted through a dichotomous lens of rupture versus
reversal. Early policy narratives following the 2016 referendum emphasised regulatory
autonomy, strategic diversification, and the pursuit of aGlobal Britainagenda beyond
Europe. Yet, nearly a decade after Brexit, this binary framing has proven insufficient for
capturing the evolving dynamics of UKEU relations. As post-withdrawal legal
arrangements have intersected with wider geopolitical and economic disruptions, the
space for either sustained strategic detachment or institutional reintegration has become
increasingly constrained.
Rather than maintaining a posture of confrontation or seeking a return to pre-Brexit
integration, the UK has gradually adopted a calibrated approach toward the EU that
prioritises functional cooperation within the limits of the post-Brexit settlement. This
recalibration became politically explicit following the Labour Party’s return to government
in July 2024. The new government articulated its European policy as a reset” of relations
with the EU, explicitly distancing this strategy from any intention to reverse Brexit or to
re-enter core integration frameworks such as the Single Market or the Customs Union.
Parliamentary briefings describe this approach as one aimed at reducing friction and
improving cooperation while preserving the legal and political outcomes of withdrawal
(UK Parliament, 2025a).
The concept of “reset diplomacy,” as employed by the UK government, thus denotes an
effort to normalise relations and enhance policy coordination without reopening the
foundational terms of Brexit. Importantly, this approach frames cooperation as a practical
and technical matter rather than a symbolic or constitutional one. By emphasising
continuity with the existing legal architecture, the reset seeks to depoliticise aspects of
UKEU interaction while leaving core sovereignty claims formally untouched.
This paper argues that the UK’s reset diplomacy toward the EU is best understood as an
adaptive response to conditions of polycrisis. Polycrisis refers to the interaction and
mutual reinforcement of multiple crises including geopolitical, economic, security-related,
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on the Korean Peninsula in the Era of Polycrisis
Euichan Shin
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and institutional that together constrain policy options more severely than any single
crisis in isolation (Lawrence et al., 2024). In the European context, the prolonged war in
Ukraine, energy insecurity, disruptions to global supply chains, and the economic
adjustment costs associated with Brexit form an entangled crisis environment. Recent
scholarship emphasises that polycrisis should be treated not as a temporary phase, but
as a durable condition characterised by persistent uncertainty and the erosion of clear
crisis-exit strategies. Under such conditions, policy approaches premised on rigid
sovereignty or comprehensive disengagement tend to generate escalating costs.
Three structural pressures are particularly relevant in shaping the UK’s reset diplomacy.
First, the deterioration of the European security environment since 2022 has reinforced
the strategic importance of close coordination among European states. Although the UK
remains firmly embedded in NATO, the war in Ukraine has highlighted operational and
industrial interdependencies linking European security actors, including EU institutions
and non-member partners (European Council, 2025a). This has increased the practical
relevance of EU-level coordination even for states formally outside the Union.
Second, uncertainty surrounding the future orientation and reliability of U.S. global
engagement has encouraged European governments to diversify security cooperation
and strengthen regional coordination mechanisms. This context has sharpened incentives
for structured UKEU engagement in defence and security-related areas, particularly
where transatlantic guarantees alone appear insufficient.
Third, domestic economic pressures linked to post-Brexit trade frictions have generated
growing demand for targeted forms of cooperation with the EU. Regulatory divergence
has produced tangible costs in areas such as agri-food trade and carbon pricing, where
small and medium-sized enterprises embedded in EU-facing supply chains are
particularly exposed (UK Parliament, 2025b).
Within this environment, reset diplomacy can be characterised as a form of pragmatic
diplomacy. In this paper, pragmatic diplomacy refers to an interest-driven, problem-
oriented approach that prioritises practical outcomes over ideological coherence or
comprehensive institutional alignment. Rather than pursuing either full regulatory
autonomy or deep reintegration, pragmatic diplomacy operates through modular and
sector-specific arrangements that can be negotiated incrementally and adjusted over
time. Such an approach is particularly suited to polycrisis conditions, where overlapping
risks and political uncertainty limit the feasibility of comprehensive bargains.
Empirically, the UKEU reset has unfolded through a series of concrete initiatives since
2023, gaining momentum after the 2024 change of government. These include the
restoration of regular political summitry, efforts to construct a new framework for
strategic partnership, and negotiations over partial economic and regulatory
coordination. While none of these developments amount to a reversal of Brexit, they
collectively represent a shift away from confrontation toward managed cooperation.
Beyond the European case, this paper suggests that the UK’s reset diplomacy offers
analytically relevant insights for South Korea. The Korean Peninsula is likewise situated
within a polycrisis environment shaped by great-power rivalry, alliance uncertainty,
economic fragmentation, and persistent security dilemmas. The value of this comparison
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lies not in institutional similarity, but in the shared condition of constraint under which
diplomacy unfolds. Examining how a middle power such as the UK navigates cooperation
and autonomy under crisis entanglement contributes to broader discussions on
diplomatic strategies for maintaining peace and stability in environments where
comprehensive solutions remain politically and structurally out of reach.
Polycrisis and Pragmatic Diplomacy: A Theoretical Framework
Polycrisis and State Behaviour under Structural Constraint
The concept of polycrisis has gained analytical prominence as scholars have sought to
capture the growing complexity and instability of the contemporary global order. Unlike
conventional crisis frameworks that treat shocks as discrete, sequential, and sectorally
bounded, polycrisis refers to a condition in which multiple crises interact and reinforce
one another across domains. These interactions generate systemic effects that cannot
be adequately understood through linear or compartmentalised analysis.
The intellectual origins of the concept can be traced to Edgar Morin’s critique of modern
governance, which emphasised the interdependence of economic, political, ecological,
and social systems. Morin argued that crises in complex societies do not simply
accumulate over time. Instead, they become mutually constitutive, gradually eroding the
capacity of institutions to respond through reductionist or siloed approaches (Morin &
Kern, 1999). This insight is particularly relevant for contemporary international politics,
where policy responses in one domain increasingly produce indirect consequences in
others.
Building on this tradition, Lawrence et al. (2024) define global polycrisis as the causal
entanglement of crises spanning multiple global systems, in which interconnected
dynamics significantly diminish collective prospects. They identify three mechanisms
through which polycrisis unfolds. Common stresses exert simultaneous pressure on
multiple systems, while domino effects allow shocks to propagate across policy domains.
Over time, feedback loops further intensify instability. This formulation shifts analytical
attention away from the frequency or scale of individual crises and toward the structural
conditions under which crises interact.
Within European studies, polycrisis has become a central lens for interpreting governance
dynamics since the late 2000s. Zeitlin, Nicoli, and Laffan (2019) argue that the EU’s
experience of overlapping crises, including financial instability, migration pressures,
Brexit, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the war in Ukraine, has not produced a uniform
trajectory of either integration or disintegration. Instead, polycrisis has reshaped political
incentives and institutional practices. This has contributed to differentiated integration,
the use of experimental policy instruments, and a growing reliance on informal
coordination. Importantly, this literature emphasises that polycrisis does not determine
outcomes in advance. Rather, it alters the constraints within which political actors
operate.
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From a broader international relations perspective, polycrisis affects state behaviour by
increasing uncertainty, shortening decision horizons, and heightening sensitivity to
cumulative and indirect effects. In such environments, the costs of policy rigidity rise
substantially. Strategies grounded in ideological consistency, whether they prioritise
sovereignty maximalism or normative integrationism, risk generating spillover effects
that undermine performance in adjacent domains. As a result, states embedded in dense
networks of interdependence increasingly prioritise flexibility, reversibility, and risk
management in their external relations.
Polycrisis thus introduces a form of structural constraint that differs from traditional
accounts centred on power asymmetry or formal institutional dependence (Lawrence et
al., 2024). Constraints arise not only from external actors or legal rules, but also from
the interaction of crises that narrow the range of politically and economically viable
choices. This perspective helps explain why states may pursue cooperation even in the
absence of trust or normative alignment. Under conditions of polycrisis, cooperation
becomes less a reflection of shared values and more a pragmatic response to systemic
risk.
For the United Kingdom, the post-Brexit period coincides with precisely such a condition
of structural constraint. Economic adjustment costs associated with withdrawal from the
EU, the destabilisation of European security following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, energy
insecurity, and uncertainty surrounding transatlantic relations together constitute a
sustained polycrisis environment. These overlapping pressures increase the relative costs
of prolonged confrontation with the EU and make selective cooperation a rational
adaptation rather than a normative concession. In this sense, polycrisis does not merely
provide background context for UKEU relations. It actively reshapes the strategic
calculus through which post-Brexit diplomacy is conducted.
Pragmatic Diplomacy as an Adaptive Response to Polycrisis
Within environments characterised by structural constraint and persistent uncertainty,
pragmatic diplomacy emerges as a distinctive mode of foreign policy adaptation. In this
article, pragmatic diplomacy refers to an interest-driven and problem-oriented approach
that prioritises practical outcomes over doctrinal coherence or comprehensive
institutional alignment. Rather than seeking to resolve underlying political conflicts or to
establish stable end-states, pragmatic diplomacy focuses on managing immediate
challenges within the limits imposed by domestic politics, institutional arrangements, and
external pressures.
The conceptual roots of pragmatic diplomacy can be traced to philosophical pragmatism,
which emphasises experimentalism, learning through practice, and the evaluation of
ideas based on their consequences rather than their conformity to abstract principles.
Friedrichs and Kratochwil (2009) introduce this orientation into international relations
scholarship by arguing that pragmatism enables policy-makers to navigate complex
environments through selective and situational reasoning. From this perspective,
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diplomatic action is guided less by theoretical consistency than by assessments of
feasibility under specific conditions.
In practical terms, pragmatic diplomacy manifests itself in several recurring patterns.
Cooperation is typically organised around discrete policy areas rather than
comprehensive agreements. Institutional arrangements are treated as provisional and
subject to adjustment, rather than as fixed endpoints. Fragmentation and differentiated
participation are accepted as normal features of contemporary governance, particularly
in contexts where political consensus is limited. These features align closely with practice-
oriented accounts of diplomacy, which emphasise routines, informal coordination, and
tacit knowledge as central to the functioning of international cooperation (Pouliot &
Cornut, 2015).
Changes in the structure of contemporary diplomacy further reinforce the relevance of
pragmatic approaches. Hocking (2016) observes that diplomatic practice has become
increasingly network-based and polycentric, reflecting the diffusion of authority across
state and non-state actors and the proliferation of issue-specific policy arenas. In such
settings, diplomacy rarely unfolds through singular negotiating forums or comprehensive
treaties. Instead, it operates through overlapping channels that connect governments,
international organisations, and specialised agencies. Pragmatic diplomacy is well suited
to this environment because it does not depend on hierarchical institutional control or
normative convergence.
Importantly, pragmatic diplomacy should not be conflated with opportunism or policy
inconsistency. Although it avoids rigid doctrinal commitments, it remains strategically
purposeful. Its defining feature lies in the prioritisation of feasibility and risk mitigation
under conditions of uncertainty. In polycrisis environments, this often results in
cooperation that is limited in scope and framed in technical terms, thereby reducing
domestic political exposure while preserving the possibility of future adjustment.
From this perspective, pragmatic diplomacy occupies a middle ground between classical
realist and liberal institutionalist approaches. It does not reject cooperation in favour of
unilateral power projection, nor does it assume that durable cooperation requires deep
normative alignment or institutional integration. Instead, it treats cooperation as a
contingent and context-dependent practice shaped by structural constraints. This
orientation is particularly relevant for actors operating outside formal membership
frameworks, such as the UK in its post-Brexit relationship with the EU, where political
red lines limit the scope of institutional engagement but do not eliminate functional
interdependence.
Under conditions of polycrisis, pragmatic diplomacy thus represents not a temporary
deviation from established strategies, but a durable mode of adjustment. As overlapping
crises continue to interact across security, economic, and institutional domains,
diplomatic practices that emphasise flexibility, reversibility, and issue-specific
coordination are likely to remain central to the management of international relations.
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Analytical Implications for the Study of UKEU Relations
The combined perspective of polycrisis and pragmatic diplomacy provides a coherent
analytical lens for understanding the United Kingdom’s reset diplomacy toward the EU.
Polycrisis generates shared pressures across security, economic, and institutional
domains that weaken the viability of ideologically rigid positions. In such environments,
diplomatic strategies premised on either sustained confrontation or comprehensive
reintegration tend to incur escalating political and material costs. Pragmatic diplomacy
offers an alternative logic by enabling cooperation to proceed within clearly recognised
constraints.
This framework helps explain both the timing and the form of the UKEU reset. The
recalibration of relations did not emerge from a fundamental reassessment of Brexit as
a political project. Instead, it reflected a gradual adjustment to the cumulative pressures
generated by overlapping crises. Security uncertainty, economic volatility, and regulatory
interdependence interacted to narrow the range of feasible policy options, making
selective cooperation increasingly attractive even in the absence of political trust or
normative convergence.
Analytically, the emphasis on modular and issue-specific cooperation is particularly
significant. Rather than pursuing a single overarching agreement, the UKEU reset has
unfolded through discrete initiatives that address concrete policy needs while avoiding
politically sensitive questions of institutional membership. This approach reduces the risk
that setbacks in one domain will undermine cooperation in others. It also allows both
parties to recalibrate engagement over time in response to changing conditions, a feature
that is especially valuable in polycrisis environments characterised by uncertainty and
rapid change.
The framework further highlights the importance of recognising political and institutional
constraints as constitutive elements of diplomacy rather than as obstacles to be
overcome. In the UKEU case, domestic political red lines in the UK and legal-institutional
limits on the EU side shape not only what forms of cooperation are possible, but also how
cooperation is framed and justified. Treating these constraints analytically helps explain
why the reset has taken an incremental, technically oriented form rather than moving
toward deeper institutionalisation.
Finally, this perspective clarifies the distinction between cooperation and convergence.
The UKEU reset demonstrates that functional cooperation can be sustained without
shared long-term integration goals or normative alignment. Cooperation emerges as a
contingent practice aimed at managing specific risks rather than as a pathway toward
systemic transformation. This insight is central to the broader argument of the article, as
it allows the analysis to move beyond debates over integration outcomes and toward a
more grounded understanding of how diplomacy operates under conditions of structural
constraint.
By establishing these analytical implications, this section provides a conceptual bridge
between the theoretical discussion of polycrisis and pragmatic diplomacy and the
empirical analysis of the UKEU reset that follows. It sets the stage for examining how
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these dynamics have been translated into concrete diplomatic practices, while remaining
attentive to the limits imposed by post-Brexit political and institutional realities.
The UKEU Reset under Polycrisis: Structural Pressures and Pragmatic
Diplomacy
Structural Pressures in a Polycrisis Environment
The recalibration of UKEU relations has continued to unfold within a polycrisis
environment characterised by persistence rather than resolution. Since 2025,
overlapping security, economic, and institutional pressures have not stabilised into a new
equilibrium. Instead, they have evolved in ways that reinforce one another, further
constraining diplomatic choice. Within this context, the UKEU reset has increasingly
been framed not as a discretionary policy initiative, but as a functional response to
sustained uncertainty.
From a geopolitical perspective, the European security landscape remains unsettled.
Although the war in Ukraine has entered a protracted phase, its implications for European
defence planning and strategic coordination have deepened rather than diminished. The
EU has continued to expand its role in defence-industrial coordination and sanctions
governance, while debates over burden-sharing and strategic autonomy have intensified
(European Council, 2025b). These developments underscore the extent to which
European security governance now operates across multiple institutional layers, including
NATO, EU frameworks, and partnerships with non-member states. For the UK, this has
increased the practical costs associated with sustained distance from EU-level
coordination, even as formal boundaries related to membership remain firmly in place.
Economic pressures have likewise persisted and accumulated. Post-Brexit trade frictions
continue to intersect with broader challenges related to supply-chain resilience, energy
security, and sluggish growth. Parliamentary briefings published since 2025 indicate that
non-tariff barriers and regulatory divergence have become structural features of UKEU
economic relations rather than transitional effects (UK Parliament, 2025c; House of Lords
Library, 2026). Over time, the cumulative impact of these constraints has heightened
political sensitivity to the economic costs of limited cooperation, particularly in sectors
where regulatory divergence generates disproportionate adjustment burdens.
What distinguishes this phase of UKEU relations is not the emergence of new crises, but
the interaction of existing ones. Security uncertainty, economic adjustment, and
institutional separation increasingly reinforce each other, narrowing the range of
politically viable strategies. Under such conditions, approaches premised on either
sustained confrontation or comprehensive reintegration become difficult to sustain. The
reset should therefore be understood less as a change in strategic ambition than as an
effort to manage exposure to systemic risk within a prolonged polycrisis environment.
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Security Recalibration and Cooperation beyond Membership
Security cooperation has remained central to the evolving UKEU reset, particularly as
the limits of purely alliance-based frameworks have become more apparent. Although
NATO continues to function as the primary pillar of European collective defence, the
expansion of EU-level initiatives in defence-industrial coordination, procurement
cooperation, and military mobility has increased the functional relevance of EU
institutions for European security governance (European Commission, 2022). This
development does not displace NATO’s role, but it does complicate the institutional
landscape within which European security cooperation now operates.
By early 2026, this dynamic had translated into renewed discussions concerning UK
participation in selected EU defence-related mechanisms (Tidey & Jones, 2026). Public
statements and media reporting suggested that the UK government was reassessing its
position on engagement with EU initiatives linked to joint procurement and industrial
capacity-building. These discussions were framed explicitly in functional terms. Rather
than signalling a move toward institutional reintegration, they reflected shared concerns
regarding capability gaps, production constraints, and the sustainability of defence
support in a prolonged security crisis.
This recalibration points to a layered approach to security cooperation. The UK has
continued to emphasise the primacy of NATO and the transatlantic relationship, while
increasingly acknowledging that effective European security governance depends on
coordination across multiple institutional venues (European Council, 2025b). Cooperation
beyond formal membership thus emerges as a strategic compromise. It allows the UK to
retain political autonomy while reducing the operational costs associated with exclusion
from EU-led coordination frameworks. Under conditions of persistent security
uncertainty, this form of pragmatic engagement becomes less an exception than a
practical necessity.
Economic and Regulatory Adjustment after Brexit
Economic and regulatory adjustment constitutes a second core dimension of the UKEU
reset. While the Trade and Cooperation Agreement continues to provide the baseline
framework for bilateral economic relations, its limitations have become increasingly
visible as regulatory divergence intersects with broader shifts in industrial and climate
policy. EU initiatives related to economic security and climate governance have generated
external pressures on UK firms integrated into European value chains, particularly in
sectors characterised by tight regulatory coupling (European Commission, 2023).
By early 2026, sector-specific negotiations had moved from abstract debate toward
exploratory discussions focused on technical and transitional arrangements. In the agri-
food sector, renewed attention to sanitary and phytosanitary measures reflected growing
concern over supply disruption, administrative burden, and competitiveness (UK
Parliament, 2025d). Similarly, discussions surrounding emissions trading coordination
were driven less by normative alignment than by awareness that regulatory divergence
could impose asymmetric costs in an already strained economic environment.
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These developments highlight the evolving logic of economic cooperation under the reset.
Regulatory coordination is increasingly framed as a tool for risk mitigation rather than
convergence. By pursuing targeted adjustments in areas where divergence generates
disproportionate costs, the UK seeks to stabilise economic interaction with the EU while
maintaining the political narrative of post-Brexit autonomy. This pattern is consistent
with the broader logic of pragmatic diplomacy under polycrisis, where cooperation is
justified by functional necessity and bounded by political constraint.
Political and Institutional Constraints of the Reset
Despite growing incentives for cooperation, the scope and form of the UKEU reset
remain shaped by enduring political and institutional constraints on both sides. These
constraints help explain why the reset has taken an incremental and selective form rather
than evolving into a comprehensive framework for renewed integration.
In the UK, Brexit continues to carry significant political salience. Successive governments
have reiterated commitments to core Brexit red lines, including the rejection of EU single
market membership, the customs union, and free movement of persons. These
constraints limit the political feasibility of deep or highly visible forms of integration and
steer policy toward technocratic, sector-specific arrangements that attract less public
scrutiny (House of Lords Library, 2026). As a result, the reset is framed in terms of
normalisation and improvement rather than reversal.
On the EU side, institutional constraints are equally consequential. The legal architecture
of the EU and concerns about precedent-setting restrict the depth of cooperation that
can be extended to third countries without corresponding obligations (Fabbrini, 2020).
Internal divergences among member states regarding the strategic value of closer
engagement with the UK further complicate efforts to institutionalise cooperation beyond
narrowly defined areas.
Taken together, these constraints reinforce a modular approach to the reset. Rather than
pursuing a single overarching agreement, both parties have favoured incremental
progress through discrete initiatives and structured dialogues. This approach allows
cooperation to advance where mutual benefits are clear while containing political and
legal risks. In this sense, the reset reflects not a transitional stage toward reintegration,
but a relatively stable equilibrium shaped by the enduring legacies of Brexit and the
pressures of polycrisis.
Implications for Peace and Security on the Korean Peninsula
Polycrisis on the Korean Peninsula: Interlocking Security and
Geoeconomic Pressures
The Korean Peninsula constitutes a paradigmatic case of polycrisis in which security,
geoeconomic, and institutional pressures interact in ways that significantly constrain
diplomatic choice. Unlike episodic crises that can be addressed through discrete policy
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interventions, the peninsula is shaped by the persistence of unresolved confrontation,
the accumulation of risk across domains, and the absence of stable mechanisms for crisis
exit. These conditions generate a structural environment in which policy flexibility is
limited and the costs of miscalculation are particularly high.
At the core of this polycrisis lies the unresolved legacy of the Korean War and the
continued development of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK)’s nuclear
and missile capabilities. The International Atomic Energy Agency has repeatedly reported
that it remains unable to conduct verification activities in the DPRK, while continuing to
monitor relevant facilities through open-source and satellite-based information (IAEA,
2024). This lack of verification does not merely represent a technical limitation. It
constitutes a structural source of uncertainty that complicates risk assessment and
undermines the predictability required for sustained crisis management.
Sanctions governance forms a second, closely related layer of polycrisis. While United
Nations Security Council sanctions formally remain in place, their enforcement and
monitoring have become increasingly contested. Resolution 2680 (2023) extended the
mandate of the Panel of Experts only on a temporary basis, and the Panel’s final report
documented persistent evasion practices and growing obstacles to coordinated
enforcement (United Nations Security Council, 2024). The subsequent termination of the
Panel’s mandate has introduced an additional element of institutional fragmentation,
weakening shared situational awareness and complicating multilateral coordination.
A third dimension of polycrisis emerges from the growing salience of geoeconomic
competition. Global debates on economic security, supply-chain resilience, and
technological controls increasingly intersect with traditional security concerns. The World
Economic Forum (2026) identifies geoeconomic confrontation and the weaponisation of
economic interdependence as among the most significant short-term global risks. For the
Korean Peninsula, these dynamics are particularly consequential. South Korea’s security
remains anchored in alliance commitments, while its economic model is deeply embedded
in global value chains exposed to strategic trade controls and technological decoupling.
What distinguishes the peninsula’s polycrisis is not the presence of multiple challenges
per se, but the way in which these pressures reinforce one another. Nuclear risk
intensifies sanctions politics, sanctions governance intersects with great-power rivalry,
and geoeconomic competition feeds back into security calculations. Under such
conditions, diplomatic strategies premised on comprehensive settlement or linear
progress become difficult to sustain. The polycrisis of the Korean Peninsula should
therefore be understood not as a temporary convergence of challenges, but as a
structural condition that narrows the space for diplomatic manoeuvre and elevates the
importance of risk management (World Bank, 2024).
Analytical Lessons from Pragmatic Diplomacy under Polycrisis
The UKEU reset examined in Chapter 3 does not offer a transferable institutional model
for the Korean Peninsula. Its analytical relevance lies instead in the mechanisms through
which diplomatic cooperation has been recalibrated under conditions of structural
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on the Korean Peninsula in the Era of Polycrisis
Euichan Shin
70
constraint. These mechanisms provide insight into how diplomacy functions in
environments where comprehensive settlements are politically and institutionally
unattainable.
A first analytical lesson concerns the logic of selective cooperation. Under polycrisis
conditions, attempts to pursue all-encompassing agreements tend to raise the political
threshold for engagement to a level that is difficult to sustain. The UKEU reset illustrates
how cooperation can be organised around discrete functional domains without reopening
foundational disputes. Analytically applied to the Korean Peninsula, this suggests that
limited forms of engagement may remain possible even when progress on core security
issues is blocked, not because political relations have improved, but because functional
coordination serves to manage specific risks.
A second lesson relates to incrementalism and modularity. Rather than constructing a
single overarching framework, the reset has proceeded through layered and reversible
arrangements that contain political exposure. This feature is particularly relevant in
contexts characterised by domestic political volatility and security uncertainty.
Incremental mechanisms allow interaction to continue without requiring irreversible
commitments or assumptions of linear progress.
A third lesson concerns the treatment of constraints as constitutive elements of
diplomacy. In the UKEU case, domestic political red lines and institutional limits are not
framed as temporary obstacles to be overcome, but as parameters within which
cooperation is designed and justified. Strategic documents produced by the Republic of
Korea similarly acknowledge that national security policy operates at the intersection of
military threats, economic security, and great-power competition (Ministry of Foreign
Affairs, Republic of Korea, 2022). Recognising these constraints analytically reduces the
risk of overestimating the feasibility of ambitious diplomatic initiatives in structurally
constrained environments.
Finally, pragmatic diplomacy under polycrisis underscores the distinction between
cooperation and convergence. The UKEU reset demonstrates that functional cooperation
does not require institutional convergence or normative alignment. Cooperation emerges
as a contingent practice aimed at managing specific risks rather than as a pathway
toward political reconciliation or systemic transformation. For the Korean Peninsula,
where institutional integration analogous to the European experience is neither feasible
nor analytically appropriate, this distinction is particularly significant.
Taken together, these analytical lessons do not point toward solutions or policy
prescriptions. Instead, they clarify how diplomacy adapts when its scope is narrowed by
persistent uncertainty and structural constraint. In this sense, pragmatic diplomacy
under polycrisis provides an interpretive framework for understanding diplomatic practice
in high-risk environments rather than a blueprint for conflict resolution.
Multi-Vector Cooperation and Risk Management on the Korean Peninsula
If the Korean Peninsula is understood as a setting shaped by polycrisis, diplomatic
engagement oriented toward a single institutional or strategic track is unlikely to provide
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on the Korean Peninsula in the Era of Polycrisis
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a stable basis for managing risk. An analytically more appropriate framing is multi-vector
cooperation, understood here not as a prescriptive strategy, but as a descriptive concept
capturing the plurality of channels through which interaction is organised under
conditions of structural constraint.
In the international relations literature, multi-vector foreign policy has been used to
describe how states navigate competitive environments by cultivating pragmatic relations
with multiple power centres rather than aligning exclusively with a single actor. Research
on secondary and middle powers emphasises that such an approach is not driven by
ideological neutrality, but by efforts to preserve autonomy and manage exposure to
external risks in environments where dependence on any single partner may generate
vulnerability (Vanderhill et al., 2020). This conceptualisation provides a useful analytical
lens for examining diplomatic practice on the Korean Peninsula, where structural
constraints limit the feasibility of singular or linear approaches to engagement.
Empirically, elements of multi-vector engagement are already visible in the peninsula’s
diplomatic landscape. South Korea’s security posture remains anchored in alliance-based
deterrence, while its diplomatic practice extends across multilateral institutions, regional
partnerships, and issue-specific forms of coordination. This plurality reflects a context in
which no single framework is capable of addressing the full range of security, economic,
and geopolitical pressures confronting the peninsula.
From an analytical perspective, the significance of multi-vector cooperation lies in its
relationship to risk management across domains. Geoeconomic tensions associated with
supply-chain restructuring, technological controls, and industrial policy increasingly
interact with traditional security concerns. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation
and Development has noted that economic security risks linked to global value chains
and strategic technologies now directly shape national security calculations, particularly
for economies deeply embedded in international production networks (OECD, 2024).
Under such conditions, disruptions originating in one domain can rapidly spill over into
others.
In this context, dispersing diplomatic engagement across multiple vectors may reduce
the likelihood that shocks cascade uncontrollably across policy areas. Security escalation
can disrupt economic and diplomatic channels that contribute to broader stability, while
unmanaged geoeconomic confrontation may exacerbate security dilemmas. Multi-vector
engagement, understood analytically, draws attention to how diplomatic practice can
mitigate such cross-domain spillovers without presupposing convergence or political
reconciliation.
Domestic political dynamics constitute an additional dimension of risk under polycrisis.
Survey research conducted by the Korea Institute for National Unification indicates that
public attitudes toward inter-Korean relations and unification have become increasingly
heterogeneous and contingent (Korea Institute for National Unification, 2025). This
variability complicates the sustainability of diplomatic initiatives that rely on singular
narratives or narrowly defined policy tracks. Viewed analytically, multi-vector
engagement highlights how diplomatic interaction can persist despite fluctuations in
domestic preferences.
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Importantly, multi-vector cooperation does not imply strategic ambiguity, nor does it
entail the dilution of existing security commitments. It also does not presuppose progress
toward conflict resolution. Its analytical value lies in drawing attention to how diplomacy
under polycrisis prioritises risk containment, adaptability, and systemic resilience over
linear advancement toward settlement. In this sense, multi-vector cooperation captures
a mode of diplomatic practice oriented toward stabilising interaction in an environment
where uncertainty is not episodic, but enduring.
Conclusion
This article set out to examine the United Kingdom’s reset diplomacy toward the
European Union as a case of pragmatic cooperation under conditions of polycrisis, and to
explore its analytical implications for peace and security on the Korean Peninsula. Rather
than interpreting the reset as a transitional step toward reintegration or as a symbolic
political shift, the analysis conceptualised it as a mode of diplomacy shaped by enduring
structural constraints and overlapping sources of uncertainty.
Drawing on the concept of polycrisis, the article argued that contemporary international
politics is increasingly characterised by the interaction of multiple crises across security,
economic, and institutional domains. In such environments, diplomatic strategies
premised on comprehensive settlement, institutional convergence, or linear progress
become difficult to sustain. Instead, diplomacy tends to prioritise adaptability, risk
management, and functionally bounded forms of cooperation. Chapter 2 established this
analytical framework by linking polycrisis to pragmatic diplomacy as a mode of
adjustment rather than an exception to established practice.
Against this backdrop, Chapter 3 analysed the UKEU reset as an empirical illustration of
how diplomacy operates under constraint. The reset has been driven not by normative
convergence or a return to pre-Brexit integration, but by cumulative pressures associated
with security uncertainty, geoeconomic competition, and regulatory interdependence.
Cooperation has therefore proceeded in selective and incremental ways, bounded by
persistent political and institutional limits on both sides. Rather than resolving underlying
disputes, the reset has stabilised interaction by enabling limited coordination in specific
domains while preserving domestic political constraints.
Chapter 4 extended this analytical lens to the Korean Peninsula, which constitutes a
particularly acute case of polycrisis. The analysis demonstrated that unresolved military
confrontation, contested sanctions governance, and intensifying geoeconomic pressures
interact to narrow diplomatic choice and elevate the costs of rigidity. Rather than offering
policy prescriptions, the discussion identified analytical lessons regarding how diplomacy
functions when comprehensive solutions are structurally out of reach. In such settings,
diplomatic practice is more plausibly oriented toward managing risk, containing cross-
domain spillovers, and sustaining engagement through multiple and issue-specific
channels.
Taken together, the findings of this article suggest that diplomacy in the era of polycrisis
is increasingly judged not by its capacity to deliver definitive outcomes, but by its ability
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to reduce systemic risk and stabilise interaction under conditions of persistent
uncertainty. The UKEU reset illustrates one such mode of pragmatic adjustment. Its
relevance for the Korean Peninsula lies not in what it achieves, but in how it operates
under constraint. By focusing on the forms and logics of diplomatic practice rather than
on institutional end-states, this article contributes to a broader understanding of how
peace and security may be pursued when resolution itself remains a long-term horizon
rather than an immediate possibility.
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