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Universidade Autónoma de Lisboa
e-ISSN: 1647-7251
VOL. 17, Nº. 1
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DYNAMIC RELATIONSHIPS AMONG DIMENSIONS OF GLOBALIZATION:
ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS ON COUNTRY INCOME GROUPS
CAN SAGLAM
can.saglam@giresun.edu.tr
Assistant Professor in the Department of Public Finance at Giresun University (Türkiye). He
obtained his MA and PhD degrees from the Department of Econometrics at Karadeniz Technical
University. His research interests include globalization, economic integration, economic growth,
and income distribution. http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0688-4698
RAHMİ YAMAK
yamak@ktu.edu.tr
Professor in the Department of Econometrics at Karadeniz Technical University (Türkiye). He
received an MA and a PhD degree from the Department of Economics at Texas Tech University.
His primary research interests are monetary policy, fiscal policy, public finance, inflation,
economic growth, income distribution, and time-series analysis.
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2604-1797
Abstract
Globalization is a multidimensional phenomenon that includes economic, political, and cultural
dimensions. The globalization process is shaped by the intertwined interactions of its
dimensions. In this context, the main purpose of this study is to analyze the longrun
relationships among economic, cultural, and political globalization according to country
income groups worldwide and to investigate how they interact with each other. The study
covers the period 19802020. Longrun relationships among the dimensions of globalization
were analyzed with Johansen cointegration test. Longrun coefficients were estimated using
FMOLS method. According to the findings obtained from the study, longrun relationships
were determined among the dimensions of globalization. It was observed that the direction
and degree of the relationships among the dimensions of globalization may differ depending
on the income levels of countries. In all income groups, it was determined that political
globalization and both economic and cultural globalization positive affect each other. It was
determined that the interactions between economic and cultural globalization differed
significantly according to country income groups. In general, the findings indicate that political
integration promotes globalization processes, while economic and cultural integration
processes support political integration.
Keywords
Globalization, Dimensions of Globalization, Integration, Income Groups, Cointegration
Analysis.
Resumo
A globalização é um fenómeno multidimensional que inclui as dimensões económica, política
e cultural. O processo de globalização é moldado pelas interações interligadas entre estas
dimensões. Neste contexto, o principal objetivo deste estudo é analisar as relações de longo
prazo entre a globalização económica, cultural e política, de acordo com os grupos de
rendimento dos países a nível mundial, e investigar como estas interagem entre si. O estudo
abrange o período de 1980 a 2020. As relações de longo prazo entre as dimensões da
globalização foram analisadas com o teste de cointegração de Johansen. Os coeficientes de
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Dynamıc Relatıonshıps Among Dımensıons of Globalızatıon:Econometrıc Analysıs
on Country Income Groups
Can Saglam, Rahmi Yamak
78
longo prazo foram estimados utilizando o método FMOLS. De acordo com os resultados
obtidos no estudo, foram determinadas relações de longo prazo entre as dimensões da
globalização. Observou-se que a direção e o grau das relações entre as dimensões da
globalização podem diferir dependendo dos níveis de rendimento dos países. Em todos os
grupos de rendimento, verificou-se que a globalização política e tanto a globalização
económica como a cultural se influenciam mutuamente de forma positiva. Verificou-se que as
interações entre a globalização económica e a cultural diferiam significativamente de acordo
com os grupos de rendimento dos países. Em geral, os resultados indicam que a integração
política promove os processos de globalização, enquanto os processos de integração
económica e cultural apoiam a integração política.
Palavras-chave
Globalização, Dimensões da Globalização, Integração, Grupos de Rendimento, Análise de
Cointegração.
How to cite this article
Saglam, Can & Yamak, Rahmi (2026). Dynamıc Relatıonshıps Among Dımensıons of Globalızatıon:
Econometrıc Analysıs on Country Income Groups. Janus.net, e-journal of international relations,
VOL. 17, Nº. 1, May 2026, pp. 77-99. https://doi.org/10.26619/1647-7251.17.1.5
Article submitted on 6 October 2025 and accepted on 28 February 2026.
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Dynamıc Relatıonshıps Among Dımensıons of Globalızatıon:Econometrıc Analysıs
on Country Income Groups
Can Saglam, Rahmi Yamak
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DYNAMIC RELATIONSHIPS AMONG DIMENSIONS OF
GLOBALIZATION: ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS ON COUNTRY
INCOME GROUPS
1
CAN SAGLAM
RAHMİ YAMAK
Introduction
The phenomenon of globalization has been increasingly felt worldwide since the second
half of the 20th century, and became the focus of academic and social debate in the
1980s. Since then, the concept of globalization has been the subject of extensive debate
within academia and public opinion, and many studies have been carried out on the
subject. The main reason for profound interest in the concept of globalization is its
complexity, encompassing numerous cultural, social, political, and technological
processes, rather than being solely an economic phenomenon. Globalization, with its
multidimensional structure, can directly and/or indirectly affect almost every area of
social life such as economy, cultural structure, politics, law, and health. It is widely
discussed how these effects, which can also be called the results of globalization, emerge
in different areas and whether they are positive or negative. Because it causes such
wideranging effects, the phenomenon of globalization has been and continues to be the
focus of many researchers from different disciplines.
The globalization process constantly involves change and transformation. Therefore, it
should not be overlooked that the effects of globalization may change over time.
Furthermore, the globalization process is not uniform but can differ according to different
regions of the world and income levels of countries. This is also true for the processes
related to the dimensions of globalization. In addition to all these, some dimensions of
globalization may become much more important in terms of the globalization process
over time. Therefore, the globalization process and the processes related to the
dimensions may exhibit variations in different periods, geographies, and societies. All
these require the concept of globalization to be evaluated continuously.
Following the global financial crisis, globalization slowed considerably, and in some areas,
it reversed. The slowdown in globalization, fueled by populist and protectionist forces
1
This study is extracted from the PhD dissertation titled “The Dynamic Relationships between Economic,
Cultural, and Political Globalization: Econometric Analysis” prepared by Can SAGLAM and supervised by Prof.
Rahmi YAMAK at Karadeniz Technical University.
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following the global financial crisis (Moffit, 2016; Steger, 2019), combined with the
COVID19 pandemic, has begun to pose a very serious threat to the globalization process
(Irwin, 2020; McNamara & Newman, 2020; Steger, 2021). In the literature, these crises
and their consequences related to the globalization process are evaluated from different
perspectives. Some academics argue that deglobalization, also supported by the geo
economic rivalry between the US and China, signals a new historical conjuncture
(Bergeijk, 2019; Irwin, 2020).
Another perspective on the current process of globalization is that these crises do not
represent the end of globalization. The current situation represents a cyclical contraction.
Although it may not be like the period before the global financial crisis, it is thought that
the globalization process may enter a new golden age (Lund et al., 2019; James, 2021).
Furthermore, it is argued that due to the increasing intensity and impact of digital
globalization, the end of globalization is far from over (Steger & James, 2020). It is
thought that the geoeconomic and geopolitical rivalry between the US and China has
created a bipolar world system (Acharya, 2017; Maher, 2018; Goldstein, 2020). It is
stated that the bipolar world system has bifurcated globalization (Zhang, 2018; Xuetong,
2020; Owen, 2021; Zhao, 2022). Therefore, significant transformations have been
occurring in the form of globalization itself in recent years, and these transformations
should not be ignored when evaluating the globalization process (McNamara & Newman,
2020; Steger & James, 2020).
In the related literature, there is no consensus on issues such as the definition and
conceptualization of globalization, approaches to globalization, the effects of
globalization, and globalization theories. However, most of the studies on the concept
concur with similar perspectives on issues such as the multidimensional nature of
globalization, its pervasive impact on diverse domains of social life, and the
interconnectedness of its various dimensions (Ritzer, 2007; Robinson, 2007).
Multidimensional and complex conceptualizations that consider globalization as a
phenomenon that operates simultaneously and interrelatedly in economic, cultural, and
political areas are widely accepted (Robertson, 1992; Appadurai, 1996; Tomlinson, 1999;
Modelski, 2007). It is argued that the boundaries among the dimensions of globalization
are not immutable; on the contrary, these dimensions are interconnected and
interrelated (Dreher & Gaston, 2008). Therefore, it is thought that the dimensions of
globalization consist of intertwined processes. The multidimensional and pluralistic
approach to the concept enables the perception of globalization as a holistic and
comprehensive process in which many dimensions emerge simultaneously and in
interaction with different processes (Rennen & Martens, 2003). In the literature, single
cause explanations of globalization that are reduced to capitalism or market expansion
are widely criticized. In this context, many studies emphasize that globalization emerges
as a result of the complex relationships between many reasons or driving forces that
encompass all dimensions and that provide more comprehensive explanations of
globalization. It is thought that considering globalization as a multidimensional process
that occurs with many dimensions is more effective in evaluating the form, dynamics,
effects, and results of globalization (Appadurai, 1990; 1996; Giddens, 1990; Held, 1995;
Rosenau, 1997; Held et al., 1999; Steger, 2003; Scholte, 2005; Ritzer, 2010).
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Globalization is not only evaluated with its economic, cultural, or political dimensions,
but it refers to a process that includes all of these dimensions. Globalization is shaped by
the mutual interactions of these dimensions. In addition to all these, it is also noteworthy
that globalization is discussed a lot with general concepts. However, such discussions do
not make the multidimensional phenomenon of globalization understandable (Hoffman,
2002). For this reason, it is emphasized that the dimensions of globalization should be
defined and the relationships among these dimensions should be revealed (Hoffman,
2002; Ritzer, 2010). When the related literature is examined, although there are
theoretical discussions and inferences on this subject, no empirical study has been found
on the relationships among the dimensions of globalization, and if there is, it is thought
that the empirical literature on this subject is quite limited. Therefore, this study aims to
contribute to filling this gap in the literature.
The study aims to analyze the longrun relationships among economic, cultural, and
political globalization according to country income groups worldwide and to investigate
how the dimensions of globalization interact. In the study, firstly, the conceptual
framework regarding the phenomenon of globalization is presented, then the dimensions
of globalization are explained, and the views on the interactions among these dimensions
are given. Subsequently, the data set and econometric methodology are introduced, and
the findings obtained from the econometric analyses are reported. In the conclusion
section, the findings regarding the relationships among the dimensions of globalization
are evaluated.
Globalization: Conceptual Framework
Globalization is a very complex concept due to its many different definitions. In general,
the concept of globalization refers to the increasing interaction and interdependence of
people, companies, governments, and cultures around the world. The extent of this
interaction and interdependence began to increase in many areas, especially trade,
finance, technology, communication, culture, and politics, after the 1980s and has
reached critical levels today. However, there are different views on what the concept of
globalization means and how it is defined. Different views on the concept make it difficult
for researchers to come up with a single definition of globalization.
Researchers from different disciplines have defined globalization, and these definitions
include significant characteristics of the concept. Determining the common points of
globalization definitions provides a better understanding of the concept. In some
definitions, globalization is considered as the spread of Western values, institutions, and
practices (Scholte, 2005), while in others, it is considered as the universalization of
modernity. Most definitions of globalization emphasize timespace compression (Harvey,
1989; Giddens, 1990; Robertson, 1992). Furthermore, the multidimensional nature of
the globalization is frequently expressed in definitions (Appadurai, 1990; 1996;
Robertson, 1992; Held, 1995; AbuLughod, 1999; Tomlinson, 1999; Steger, 2003;
Modelski, 2007; McGrew, 2008; HowardHassman, 2010; Ritzer, 2010).
Other common points of globalization definitions can be expressed as follows. The
definitions draw attention to the fact that globalization brings about a process of change
and transformation worldwide and in almost every area of social life. As a result of this
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change and transformation, it is emphasized that the world has become a single place
(McLuhan, 1962; Meyer, 1980; Ritzer, 2010). In the definitions of globalization, the
integration of communities, governments, and people around the world is emphasized
(AbuLughod, 1999; Stiglitz, 2002; Steger, 2003). In this direction, the concepts of
interrelationship and complex interdependence are included in the definitions (Modelski,
1968; Wallerstein, 1974; Giddens, 1990; AbuLughod, 1999; Steger, 2003; Scholte,
2005; McGrew, 2008). In the emergence of these interrelationships and dependence,
networks are emphasized (Meyer, 1980; Held et al., 1999; Ritzer, 2010). In definitions
of globalization, the concept of flow, which refers to the crossborder and worldwide
mobility of capital, goods, information, and people through existing networks, is
frequently included (Held, 1995; Appadurai, 1996; Held et al., 1999; Stiglitz, 2002;
Ritzer, 2010). Most definitions emphasize technological advances that facilitate faster,
more efficient, and less costly economic, political, and sociocultural flows to remote
locations around the world (Harvey, 1989; Stiglitz, 2002).
Globalization has been also defined based on a specific dimension such as economic
(Wallerstein, 1974; Harvey, 1989; Friedman, 1999; Stiglitz, 2002; Bhagwati, 2004),
political (Meyer, 1980; Held et al., 1999; HowardHassman, 2010), and sociocultural
(Appadurai, 1990; Robertson, 1992; Tomlinson, 1999; Ritzer, 2007). Definitions based
on the economic perspective draw attention to capitalist system, international division of
labor, transnational production, and financial system. Definitions of globalization from an
economic perspective focus on the expansion of capitalism as the fundamental driving
force of globalization processes. Definitions based on the political dimension of
globalization generally focus on global governance and the international institutions,
actors, and global practices that increase the tendency toward global governance. In
definitions centered on political processes, attention is drawn to the creation of world
society awareness in order to implement and increase global governance practices. In
the sociocultural definitions of globalization, the ideas of societies having a global
consciousness together and the world society are included.
The Dimensions of Globalization and the Relationships among
Dimensions of Globalization
The Dimensions of Globalization
The concept of globalization includes three main dimensions: economic, cultural, and
political (Ritzer, 2010; Heywood, 2011). When the globalization process is considered
together with its dimensions, it is seen that these dimensions interact with each other
and that these dimensions have an intertwined structure. In this context, it would be
both wrong and misleading to evaluate the phenomenon of globalization only as an
economic, cultural, or political development and analyze the process. If the globalization
process is discussed by ignoring its various dimensions, the complex interrelationships
of this process that shapes societies and the world will be overlooked (Giddens, 1990;
Friedman, 1999; Held et al., 1999). In many studies, it is stated that the globalization
process emerges as a result of the relationships among all its dimensions. However, it
should not be forgotten that the dimensions of globalization include different processes
and components. Therefore, economic, cultural, or political globalization processes do
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not work in the same way. Undoubtedly, when expressing the phenomenon of
globalization, it should not be ignored that the processes related to the dimensions of
globalization interact with each other and that the globalization process emerges as a
result of these relationships (Appadurai, 1990; 1996; Giddens, 1990; Held, 1995;
Ohmae, 1995; Castells, 1996; Held & McGrew, 2000; Steger, 2003; Scholte, 2005;
Robinson; 2007; Ritzer, 2010).
The globalization process consists of various processes, institutions, and actors.
Economic globalization includes trade and financial globalization, transnational
corporations (TNCs), and global economic governance institutions. Cultural globalization
is shaped by the change in consumer behaviors and ideologies, the cultural convergence
of societies, and media organizations. Political globalization encompasses the erosion of
nationstates, the emergence of global governance, intergovernmental organizations
(IGOs), and nongovernmental organizations (NGOs). Each of these can directly and
indirectly affect the other. Therefore, globalization refers to comprehensive and holistic
process.
Although globalization is related to all areas of social life, it is thought to be more closely
related to economic processes. Some globalization theorists focus directly on economic
globalization when conceptualizing globalization and argue that economic globalization is
the fundamental dynamic of the globalization process (Ritzer, 2010). Economic
globalization is a concept related to the increase in foreign direct investments as well as
foreign trade and the complex connections of financial transactions. The economic
dimension of globalization is shaped by many phenomena such as economic integration,
global economy, foreign direct investment, foreign trade, international capital, and free
trade (Steger, 2003; Ritzer, 2010; Heywood, 2011). With economic globalization, global
economic interrelations are intensifying (Steger, 2003) and national economies are being
drawn into a single global economy (Heywood, 2011).
The political dimension is very important in terms of the globalization process. It is
necessary not to reduce the phenomenon of globalization to just economic globalization
or technological developments (Ritzer, 2010). The political dimension maintains its
importance in the globalization process, as governments have regulatory and/or
restrictive effects in many areas. The political globalization process includes critical
political issues such as the increasing effectiveness of IGOs and NGOs and the global
governance mechanism. These issues related to the political globalization process are
associated with the replacement of the nationstate by a new form of global governance
(Keohane, 1995; Steger, 2003). In this context, with the political globalization process,
political relations around the world are intensifying and expanding (Steger, 2003), and
the responsibility for policymaking is passing from national governments to international
organizations (Heywood, 2011).
The cultural dimension of globalization is as important as its other dimensions. When
globalization is evaluated from a historical perspective, it is thought that cultural and
social processes date back to ancient times. It is noteworthy that the cultural dimension
makes significant contributions to the globalization process. In the literature, it is thought
that both cultural globalization shapes the globalization process and the globalization
process shapes cultural practices (Appadurai, 1996; Tomlinson, 1999). The social and
cultural transformations that started especially in the 1950s gradually accelerated after
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the late 1960s. In this process of change and transformation, Marshall McLuhan’s (1962)
expression of the existence of globalization with the “global village” metaphor actually
constitutes an important turning point. Cultural globalization refers to the global flows of
information, goods, and images produced anywhere in the world, which tend to eliminate
cultural differences that exist both internationally and interpersonally (Heywood, 2011).
Among the theories of globalization, there are theories that directly address the cultural
dimension of globalization. These theories, also referred to as theories of global culture,
focus on globalizing cultural structures and flows. Cultural theories of globalization
discuss such issues as the globalization of religions, communication and information, and
the relationship between globalization and consumption, migration, and tourism
(Robinson, 2007). Theories of global culture are addressed from different perspectives
such as homogenization (Ritzer, 2010), heterogenization (Friedman, 1995), hybridization
(Pieterse, 1995; Hannerz, 1996), and glocalization (Robertson, 1992). The debate on
cultural homogenization and heterogenization is shaped around the question, “Does
globalization make people and societies similar or different from each other?”.
The Relationships among Dimensions of Globalization
It is necessary to express how the dimensions of globalization affect each other. The
disappearance of borders and the formation of a more flexible structure with the
globalization process benefit capital and accelerate economic globalization. If the basis
of globalization is the removal of trade barriers and the integration of national economies
(Stiglitz, 2002; Bhagwati, 2004), the economic globalization process cannot be
considered independently of other dimensions of globalization. In this context, it is stated
that other integration processes support economic globalization.
The rise of the global economy threatens sovereignty of nationstates. However,
economic integration occurs as a result of nationstates increasing their political
integration by becoming involved in global governance networks within the scope of their
policies (Ohmae, 1995; Friedman, 1999). While economic globalization is realized
through the integration of national economies, this process needs to be supported by
political regulations (Rodrik, 2011). Economic integration processes are supported by
political integration through international organizations, agreements and norms
(Keohane & Nye, 2000). In addition, economic integration creates strategic partnerships
in the world economy and paves the way for the political integration process. Therefore,
it is stated that economic and political processes are in a complex and intertwined
relationship with globalization (Held, 1999; Held & McGrew, 2000).
Economic globalization can significantly affect government policies and cause
governments to be included in the global governance mechanism. This situation is also
reflected in the discourses of political leaders. It is seen that governments use
globalization discourses to integrate into the global economy and governance (Held &
McGrew, 2000). At this point, it is noteworthy that developing countries want to ensure
capital flow to their countries by supporting neoliberal policies and aim for a better
position for themselves in global governance institutions. Thus, it is thought that they
are trying to integrate into the global economy by increasing their level of political
globalization. Developed countries can implement this strategy to maintain their positions
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in the global economy and governance. Therefore, countries are increasing their political
integration to benefit from the positive effects of economic globalization (Rosenau,
1997). In addition, with the globalization process, developing countries aim to position
themselves in the global economy better. In this direction, the balance of power may
change (Amin, 2006). Developing countries can be effective in the global economy by
increasing their level of economic integration. By supporting this with political integration,
they increase their power in global governance and try to strengthen their hierarchical
position in the global economy (Wallerstein, 1974; Ritzer, 2010).
As a result of the increase in economic integration, processes related to the global
economy cannot be determined by nationstates alone. Global governance structures
have a critical role in the sustainability of economic activities (Held & McGrew, 2002;
Steger, 2003). Institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the World
Bank (WB), and the World Trade Organization (WTO) have become important actors in
the governance of the global economy. These institutions have an intergovernmental
nature. Therefore, these institutions are formed by the coming together of nationstates.
International economic organizations support global economic integration through
political arrangements. These organizations pave the way for political globalization by
creating cooperation in the world economy. Nationstates are at the center of these and
similar organizations, unions, and agreements. Becoming a member of such institutions,
joining unions, and being a party to agreements causes the globalization processes to
become intertwined (Ruggie, 1998; Steger, 2003; Ritzer, 2010; Heywood, 2011).
With economic globalization, consumer ideology is spreading globally. This situation
causes changes and transformations in the traditional cultural structures and lifestyles of
societies (Sklair, 2000). As a result of the global spread of brands such as McDonald’s
and Starbucks, the eating and drinking habits of societies are affected. This effect can
cause the acceleration of cultural integration, standardization, and cultural
homogenization (Pieterse, 1995; Ritzer, 2010). In addition, with commercial
globalization, the consumption cultures of societies are changing due to international
trade in cultural products and services (Sklair, 2000). In this regard, TNCs trigger various
social and cultural transformations in the countries where they operate, thus affecting
cultural integration.
The spread of universal values such as human rights, freedom, and democracy on a
global scale shapes international political arrangements and global governance and leads
to increased political integration (Held, 1995; Held & McGrew, 2002). Therefore, cultural
globalization can shape political structures by supporting the spread of international
norms and values (Robertson, 1992; Ruggie, 1998). Political integration also has
significant impacts on cultural processes. Political globalization both increases the spread
of TNCs and leads to the adoption of global values and norms through NGOs. Finally,
nationstates become determinants of cultural processes as well as economic processes
by increasing their political integration through their participation in international
organizations and their cooperation (Keohane & Nye, 2000).
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Data and Econometric Process
Data
The aim of the study is to empirically analyze the longrun relationships among
economic, cultural, and political globalization. In the literature, many indicators and
indices are suggested regarding globalization and its dimensions. Among the
globalization indices, the KOF Globalization Index is measured to cover 203 countries and
the period 19702020. In addition, 43 variables are used in measuring the KOF
Globalization Index and it takes more variables into consideration than other globalization
indices. The KOF Globalization Index measures the dimensions of globalization used in
the econometric analysis of the study. Additionally, the KOF Globalization Index
measures globalization by grouping countries according to income levels. For these
reasons, the KOF Globalization Index has become the most widely used globalization
index in the literature (Potrafke, 2015; Gygli et al., 2019). The globalization index
variables used in the analysis of the study were obtained from the KOF Swiss Economics
Institute.
The data used in the study are annual and cover the period of 19802020. The main
reason why the study period began in 1980 is that there is a consensus in the literature
that contemporary globalization fully emerged after this period. In the study, the
relationships among the dimensions of globalization are analyzed separately according
to the income group classifications of countries worldwide. The country income groups
considered in the study are high income, uppermiddle income, lowermiddle income,
and low income. All of the variables were used in logarithmic form. Abbreviations and
definitions of all variables are presented in Table 1.
Table 1. Abbreviations and Definitions of Variables
Variable Abbreviation
Variable Definition
LECO
Logarithm of Economic Globalization Index
LCUL
Logarithm of Cultural Globalization Index
LPOL
Logarithm of Political Globalization Index
Note: The initial letter “L” in the variable abbreviations indicates that the logarithm of the relevant
series is taken.
Econometric Methodolgy and Models
The econometric methodology used in this study is as follows: First of all, the Augmented
DickeyFuller (ADF) unit root test developed by Dickey & Fuller (1981) and the Phillips
Perron (PP) unit root test developed by Phillips & Perron (1988) were applied to all three
variables. After that, longrun relationships among variables were investigated with
cointegration methods. The Johansen cointegration test (Johansen, 1988; Johansen &
Juselius, 1990) was used. Subsequently, longrun elasticity coefficients were obtained
to determine the direction and degree of longrun relationships among the dimensions
of globalization. If the series are stationary in their first differences and there is a long
run relationship among the series, the coefficients as a result of the estimates made with
the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method can be biased and inconsistent. In this case,
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hypothesis tests lose their validity, endogeneity problems arise, and estimates are not
efficient. Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) method developed by Phillips &
Hansen (1990), correct possible asymptotic bias and endogeneity problems that may
arise in OLS estimates and ensure that efficient estimators are obtained. Moreover, these
model provides more reliable results in small samples. In this study, longrun elasticity
coefficients were estimated using FMOLS method.
2
The econometric process was applied
to each country income group in line with the purpose and main arguments of the study.
There are three different econometric models in the study. In these models, each
dimension of globalization is considered separately as a dependent variable and the other
two dimensions as explanatory variables. Econometric models are expressed below.
Model 1: LECO = f (LCUL, LPOL)
Model 2: LCUL = f (LECO, LPOL)
Model 3: LPOL = f (LECO, LCUL)
Empirical Findings
Graphs 1, 2, 3, and 4 show the time course of economic, cultural, and political
globalization indices for country income groups from 1980 to 2020. Nonlogarithmic raw
data were used in the graphs. Graph 1 shows the index values for high income countries.
The graph shows that cultural globalization had the highest index values, while political
globalization had the lowest index values during the period. The economic globalization
index showed an increasing trend. Although the cultural globalization index increased
between 1980 and 2000, it decreased in 2001 and 2002. In high income countries, the
political globalization index declined in most periods between 1980 and 1990 and
experienced a break in 1990.
In the following period, political globalization increased rapidly. Index values for upper
middle income countries are presented in Graph 2. In this graph, it is seen that the
globalization indices had close values from 1980 to 1992. During this period, the
globalization indices remained horizontal and experienced a common break in 1991. The
political globalization index rose remarkably after 1991. Economic globalization increased
in uppermiddle income countries until 2007 and remained stable in the following period.
Although cultural globalization remained at a low level compared to economic and political
globalization, it continued its increasing trend from 1994 to 2020. Graph 3 shows the
globalization indices for the lowermiddle income group. Throughout the period, political
globalization reached higher values than economic and cultural globalization. Although
the values of the political and economic globalization indices were close to each other in
the period 19801990, political globalization increased further in the following years and
a separation occurred between the indices. It can be stated that the increasing trend of
economic globalization in lowermiddle income countries slowed down and remained
2
Longrun elasticity coefficients were also estimated by the Dynamic Least Squares (DOLS) method developed
by Stock & Watson (1993) and the Canonical Cointegration Regression (CCR) method developed by Park
(1992). However, the findings obtained from the DOLS and CCR methods were not reported because they were
parallel to the FMOLS findings.
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stable after 2007. In Graph 4, the indices are presented for the low income group. In low
income countries, political globalization was higher than economic and cultural
globalization between 1980 and 2020. The difference between political globalization and
other dimensions of globalization has increased, especially since the early 2000s. In this
income group, cultural globalization had the lowest level of globalization compared to
other dimensions.
ADF and PP unit root test results for stationary analysis are presented in Table 2.
According to the ADF and PP unit root test results, it was found that the economic,
cultural, and political globalization series were not stationary at their levels, but all three
series were stationary at the first difference in all country income groups.
Graph 1. Globalization Indices for High
Income Group
Graph 2. Globalization Indices for Upper
Middle Income Group
Graph 3. Globalization Indices for Lower
Middle Income Group
Graph 4. Globalization Indices for Low
Income Group
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Table 2. Unit Root Test Results
PP
Intercept
Trend
Intercept
Intercept
Trend
Intercept
High Income Group
LECO
-1.238 (0)
-0.300 (0)
-1.148 [3]
-0.735 [3]
ΔLECO
-4.442*** (0)
-4.478*** (0)
-4.423*** [2]
-4.456*** [2]
LCUL
-0.420 (0)
-1.144 (0)
-0.423 [3]
-1.484 [3]
ΔLCUL
-5.170*** (0)
-5.104*** (0)
-5.140*** [2]
-5.062*** [2]
LPOL
-1.287 (6)
-2.391 (6)
-0.464 [2]
-2.086 [3]
ΔLPOL
-3.488** (2)
-3.841** (0)
-3.912*** [4]
-3.840** [4]
UpperMiddle Income Group
LECO
-1.372 (0)
-0.168 (0)
-1.310 [2]
-0.422 [2]
ΔLECO
-4.776*** (0)
-4.886*** (0)
-4.803*** [2]
-4.897*** [1]
LCUL
0.203 (0)
-2.760 (0)
0.097 [3]
-2.818 [3]
ΔLCUL
-5.889*** (0)
-5.785*** (0)
-5.908*** [3]
-5.816*** [3]
LPOL
-0.343 (0)
-1.510 (0)
-0.374 [3]
-1.782 [3]
ΔLPOL
-6.110*** (0)
-6.038*** (0)
-6.129*** [3]
-6.058*** [3]
LowerMiddle Income Group
LECO
-1.981 (0)
0.127 (0)
-1.857 [1]
-0.053 [3]
ΔLECO
-4.085*** (0)
-4.049** (1)
-4.026*** [3]
-4.324*** [5]
LCUL
-0.880 (3)
-2.272 (1)
-0.146 [0]
-2.429 [1]
ΔLCUL
-3.199** (1)
-4.341*** (0)
-4.274*** [6]
-4.139** [7]
LPOL
-0.754 (0)
-0.672 (0)
-0.705 [3]
-1.315 [3]
ΔLPOL
-3.766*** (0)
-3.768** (0)
-3.766*** [0]
-3.768** [0]
Low Income Group
LECO
-1.377 (0)
-2.005 (0)
-2.101 [36]
-1.818 [5]
ΔLECO
-5.469*** (1)
-5.638*** (1)
-6.491***[28]
-11.15***[38]
LCUL
-0.315 (0)
-2.275 (1)
-0.435 [2]
-2.268 [3]
ΔLCUL
-4.499*** (0)
-4.430*** (0)
-4.499*** [0]
-4.430*** [0]
LPOL
-0.269 (0)
-1.613 (0)
-0.282 [3]
-1.765 [1]
ΔLPOL
-4.723** (1)
-4.644** (1)
-5.059*** [6]
-4.986** [6]
Note: ***, **, and * represent %1, %5, and %10 significance levels, respectively. ∆ is the first
difference operator. The maximum lag length is taken 9. The values in parentheses indicate the
optimal lag lengths. The values in square brackets indicate the bandwidths.
The results of the Johansen cointegration test are presented in Table 3. For the high
income group, the trace statistic was obtained as 44.298 and was found to be greater
than the 5% critical value. The maximum eigenvalue statistic was calculated as 26.501.
This value is greater than the critical value at the 5% level. Therefore, the null hypothesis
that the rank is equal to zero was rejected and one cointegration equation was
determined for the high income group. The values of the trace and maximum eigenvalue
statistics for the uppermiddle income group were found to be greater than the 5%
critical value. Thus, the null hypothesis expressed as r≤1 was rejected according to both
test results. As seen in Table 3, the trace statistic and the maximum eigenvalue statistic
for the lowermiddle income group were calculated as 32.817 and 22.845, respectively.
These values were greater than the critical value at the 5% level. The trace statistic and
maximum eigenvalue statistic for the low income group were determined to be greater
than the 5% critical values. According to the Johansen cointegration test results, there
is longrun relationship among globalization variables for all income groups.
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Table 3. Johansen Cointegration Test Results
High Income Group
H0
Trace Statistic
0.05 Critical Value
Prob.
r=0
44.298
35.192
0.004
r≤1
17.796
20.261
0.105
r≤2
2.383
9.164
0.700
H0
Max. Eigen Statistic
0.05 Critical Value
Prob.
r=0
26.501
22.299
0.012
r≤1
15.413
15.892
0.059
r≤2
2.383
9.164
0.700
UpperMiddle Income Group
H0
Trace Statistic
0.05 Critical Value
Prob.
r=0
45.397
35.192
0.002
r≤1
22.883
20.261
0.021
r≤2
4.957
9.164
0.288
H0
Max. Eigen Statistic
0.05 Critical Value
Prob.
r=0
22.514
22.299
0.046
r≤1
17.926
15.892
0.023
r≤2
4.957
9.164
0.288
LowerMiddle Income Group
H0
Trace Statistic
0.05 Critical Value
Prob.
r=0
37.817
35.192
0.025
r≤1
18.649
20.261
0.082
r≤2
5.429
9.164
0.239
H0
Max. Eigen Statistic
0.05 Critical Value
Prob.
r=0
22.845
22.299
0.041
r≤1
13.219
15.892
0.125
r≤2
5.429
9.164
0.239
Low Income Group
H0
Trace Statistic
0.05 Critical Value
Prob.
r=0
46.680
35.192
0.001
r≤1
19.345
20.261
0.066
r≤2
5.981
9.164
0.192
H0
Max. Eigen Statistic
0.05 Critical Value
Prob.
r=0
27.335
22.299
0.009
r≤1
13.363
15.892
0.119
r≤2
5.981
9.164
0.192
The longrun elasticity coefficients obtained from FMOLS method for the high income
group are reported in Table 4. For Model 1, the longrun coefficients of the cultural and
political globalization variables were found to be positive and statistically significant.
According to findings of Model 2, the coefficients of the economic and political
globalization variables were also found positive and statistically significant. According to
the findings obtained from Models 1 and 2, there is a positive longrun relationship
between economic and cultural globalization variables. As in findings of Model 1, the
longrun effect of political globalization on cultural globalization is also positive.
According to findings of Model 3, it was concluded that the longrun coefficients of
economic and cultural globalization variables were positive and statistically significant.
The findings from Model 3 are similar to the results of Models 1 and 2 in terms of the
longrun effects of economic and cultural globalization.
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Table 4. LongRun Coefficients: High Income Group
Variable
Coefficient
Standard Error
t-statistic
Model 1
Constant Term
-0.360
0.280
-1.286
LCUL
0.679***
0.244
2.778
LPOL
0.412*
0.207
1.987
Model 2
Constant Term
0.737***
0.162
4.535
LECO
0.411**
0.186
2.206
LPOL
0.447**
0.184
2.423
Model 3
Constant Term
-0.557***
0.106
-5.228
LECO
0.429***
0.098
4.365
LCUL
0.651***
0.114
5.672
Note: ***, **, and * represent %1, %5, and %10 significance levels, respectively.
The longrun coefficients and tstatistics calculated for the uppermiddle income group
are presented in Table 5. For Model 1, the longrun elasticity coefficient of the cultural
globalization variable was found to be negative and statistically significant. In Model 1,
the elasticity coefficient of the political globalization variable were found to be positive
and statistically significant at least at the 1% level. Findings indicate that political
globalization affects economic globalization more than cultural globalization. The results
of Model 2, economic globalization has a negative effect on cultural globalization, whereas
political globalization has a positive effect. In Model 2, the positive effect of political
globalization is greater than the negative effect of economic globalization in the long
run. Models indicate that the longrun relationship between economic and cultural
globalization is negative in the uppermiddle income group. According to findings of
Model 3, the longrun coefficients of the economic and cultural globalization variables
were found to be positive and statistically significant at least at the 1% level. FMOLS
findings indicate that the longrun effect of the cultural globalization variable on the
dependent variable is greater than economic globalization.
Table 5. LongRun Coefficients: UpperMiddle Income Group
Variable
Coefficient
Standard Error
t-statistic
Model 1
Constant Term
1.696***
0.386
4.386
LCUL
-0.641**
0.305
-2.099
LPOL
1.177***
0.209
5.636
Model 2
Constant Term
1.458***
0.120
12.148
LECO
-0.245**
0.116
-2.115
LPOL
0.845***
0.089
9.437
Model 3
Constant Term
-1.555***
0.143
-10.826
LECO
0.630***
0.127
4.942
LCUL
0.795***
0.144
5.524
Note: ***, **, and * represent %1, %5, and %10 significance levels, respectively.
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The longrun elasticity coefficients for the lowermiddle income group are given in Table
6. The results of Model 1, longrun coefficient of the cultural globalization variable was
found to be negative. The coefficient of the political globalization variable obtained from
the FMOLS method was calculated as 1.386 and was found to be statistically significant
at least at the 1% level. The findings of Model 1 indicate that political globalization affects
economic globalization more than cultural globalization in the lowermiddle income
group. The findings obtained from Models 1 and 2 show that the longrun effects of
economic and cultural globalization on each other are negative in the lowermiddle
income group, as well as in the uppermiddle income group. In addition to all these
findings, political globalization is a more important determinant of both economic and
cultural globalization in the lowermiddle income group. As seen in findings of Model 3,
the longrun coefficients of the economic and cultural globalization variables are positive
and statistically significant at least at the 1% level. When these findings are evaluated
together with the findings of Models 1 and 2, there is a positive longrun relationship
between the political globalization variable and other globalization variables.
Table 6. LongRun Coefficients: LowerMiddle Income Group
Variable
Coefficient
Standard Error
t-statistic
Model 1
Constant Term
0.423
0.269
1.574
LCUL
-0.588**
0.221
-2.658
LPOL
1.386***
0.254
5.446
Model 2
Constant Term
-0.106
0.382
-0.278
LECO
-0.684**
0.312
-2.189
LPOL
1.585***
0.221
7.159
Model 3
Constant Term
-0.189
0.184
-1.028
LECO
0.616***
0.098
6.288
LCUL
0.504***
0.060
8.365
Note: ***, **, and * represent %1, %5, and %10 significance levels, respectively.
The longrun findings for the low income group are presented in Table 7. According to
findings of Model 1, the longrun elasticity coefficients of cultural and political
globalization variables are positive and statistically significant. In Model 2, the longrun
coefficient of economic globalization was found to be positive and statistically significant.
Therefore, the longrun effects of economic and cultural globalization on each other are
positive. In this respect, the findings are similar to the findings obtained from the high
income group, while they differ from the findings obtained from the uppermiddle and
lowermiddle income groups. In Model 2, the coefficient of political globalization was
calculated as 0.732 and was found to be statistically significant at least at the 1% level.
Based on these findings, political globalization has a greater longrun effect on cultural
globalization than economic globalization in the low income group. The longrun effects
of economic and cultural globalization on political globalization are positive. Findings
indicate that the longrun effect of cultural globalization on political globalization is
greater than economic globalization in the low income group.
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Table 7. LongRun Coefficients: Low Income Group
Variable
Coefficient
Standard Error
t-statistic
Model 1
Constant Term
1.719***
0.113
15.189
LCUL
0.326***
0.083
3.911
LPOL
0.232**
0.089
2.602
Model 2
Constant Term
-1.994***
0.442
-4.504
LECO
0.596**
0.258
2.308
LPOL
0.732***
0.140
5.206
Model 3
Constant Term
0.497*
0.287
1.733
LECO
0.413***
0.130
3.178
LCUL
0.630***
0.066
9.517
Note: ***, **, and * represent %1, %5, and %10 significance levels, respectively.
The longrun relationship among economic, cultural, and political globalization variables
was investigated for all country income groups. The longrun effects of the dimensions
of globalization on each other are positive in high and low income countries. Unlike these
findings, the longrun relationships between economic and cultural globalization are
negative in uppermiddle and lowermiddle income countries. Cultural globalization is
the determinant of the economic globalization process in high and low income countries.
Findings indicate that political globalization affects economic globalization more than
cultural globalization in uppermiddle and lowermiddle income countries. The longrun
effects of economic and political globalization on cultural globalization are similar in high
income countries. For other country income groups, political integration is the
determinant of cultural integration processes. Economic globalization affects the political
globalization process more than cultural globalization in lowermiddle income countries.
In all remaining country income groups, cultural globalization is the determinant of the
political globalization process. Cultural globalization is the dimension at the center of the
globalization process, and economic and political processes contribute to other processes
in high income countries. The globalization process is essentially determined by political
processes in uppermiddle and lowermiddle income countries. Furthermore, economic
and cultural processes significantly support political integration in these country groups.
There is no dominant dimension in the globalization process in low income countries and
all dimensions of globalization promote each other to a certain extent.
Conclusion
This study attempts to empirically determine the degree and direction of longrun
relationships among economic, cultural, and political globalization. The study covers the
period 19802020 and four different country income groups. Globalization variables used
in econometric analyses were obtained from the KOF Swiss Economic Institute. The long
run relationships among the dimensions of globalization were analyzed using Johansen
cointegration test. Longrun elasticity coefficients were calculated using FMOLS method.
According to the findings obtained from Johansen cointegration test, there is longrun
relationship among economic, cultural, and political globalization for all income groups.
According to the longrun elasticity coefficient findings, the longrun effects of the
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dimensions of globalization on each other are positive in high and low income countries.
Unlike these findings, the longrun relationships between economic and cultural
globalization are negative in uppermiddle and lowermiddle income countries.
Findings regarding the interrelationships of economic and political globalization processes
indicate that these processes support each other and are intertwined (Held, 1999; Held
& McGrew, 2000). Political integration processes are supported by economic integration
and the fact that countries are party to international organizations that are active in the
governance of the global economy. As countries increase their trade openness, political
communication between countries increases and political globalization processes are
promoted. In addition, economic integration occurs as a result of countries being included
in the global governance mechanism within the context of the policies they implement
and increasing their level of political integration (Ohmae, 1995; Friedman, 1999).
Therefore, economic globalization occurs with the integration of countries into the
international global economy, but this process needs to be supported by political
regulations (Keohane & Nye, 2000; Rodrik, 2011). International economic organizations,
regional unions, and trade agreements support global economic integration through
political arrangements (Ruggie, 1998; Steger, 2003; Heywood, 2011). As a result, the
findings that economic and political globalization processes positively affect each other
indicate that these processes promote each other and support the views in this direction.
The longrun effects of economic and cultural globalization processes on each other were
found to be positive in high and low income countries. These findings are in line with
expectations, considering that processes such as the increase in international trade, the
production, consumption, and spread of cultural products and services on a global scale,
the change in consumer behavior, and standardization encourage each other (Steger,
2003; Ritzer, 2010). Moreover, findings indicate that increased economic integration may
lead to cultural homogenization (Ritzer, 2010) or hybridization (Pieterse, 1995) in high
and low income countries. Especially the abundance of cultural capital and the easier
adoption of global consumption patterns in high income countries (Ritzer, 2010) may
cause cultural and economic integration to positively affect each other. On the other
hand, the longrun effects of economic and cultural globalization on each other were
determined to be negative in uppermiddle and lowermiddle income countries. This
finding indicates that global economic integration may create pressure on the
preservation of local cultural identities in relevant country groups (Pieterse, 1995) and
may cause cultural heterogeneity rather than homogeneity (Friedman, 1995). It is
thought that increasing economic globalization may lead to strong reactions towards the
preservation of cultural identities in these country groups. In this regard, it can be stated
that cultural processes are much more resistant to economic processes in lowermiddle
income countries. There is a positive relationship between cultural and political
globalization in all income groups in the longrun. These findings imply that increased
cultural integration positively affects global political structures and processes. As a result
of the spread of global norms and values, cultural globalization can be expected to
increase its influence on political processes (Robertson, 1992; Ruggie, 1998). The
findings are in line with expectations, considering that the spread of universal values
such as human rights, freedom, and democracy on a global scale can shape international
political arrangements and global governance (Held, 1995; Held & McGrew, 2002).
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According to the statistical findings, cultural globalization is the dimension at the center
of the globalization process, and economic and political processes contribute to other
processes in high income countries. The determining effect of the cultural dimension on
globalization processes in high income countries can be explained by the effect of high
education levels, cultural diversity, and advanced communication technologies. The
globalization mechanism operates similarly in uppermiddle and lowermiddle income
countries, and the globalization process is essentially determined by political processes.
Moreover, economic and cultural processes significantly support political integration in
these country groups. In particular, the decisive role played by foreign investments and
international trade on political stability may increase this effect. It may increase the
impact of political processes on economic and cultural integration due to countries that
aim to strengthen or maintain their place in the global economy or are economically
dependent on foreign countries. In low income countries, there is no dominant dimension
in the globalization process. All dimensions of globalization promote each other. This
study empirically supports the view that the globalization process represents a holistic
process that emerges as a result of the interactions of the dimensions it contains. The
findings demonstrate that the degree and direction of the relationships among the
dimensions of globalization may differ according to the income levels of the countries. In
general, the findings indicate that political integration promotes globalization processes,
while economic and cultural integration processes support political integration.
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