the Sahara Desert as its northern limit and the humid savannas as its southern limit,
Senegal to the west and Eritrea to the east (Pichon, 2020).
The security context in which Mali finds itself is quite complex, not only regionally but
also nationally. Communities in the country have faced numerous armed rebellions,
terrorist attacks, drug trafficking, and a proliferation of weapons (Galito, 2013).
Together, all these factors contribute to significant instability in the region and the
country.
The history of Mali, like that of any other country in the world, is full of conflicts and
wars. Despite the deep temporal and social roots of Malian conflicts, they are currently
the result of pressure exerted by various armed groups that have established themselves
in the Sahel region (UN, 2020).
At the end of 2011, after the fall of Muammar Gaddafi's regime, Tuareg fighters returned
from Libya to Mali. Together with the Tuareg group National Movement for the Liberation
of Azawad (MNLA), and with some Islamist armed groups including Ansar Dine, Al-Qaeda
Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), the Movement for Unity and Jihad in West Africa (MUJAO) and
some deserters from the Malian Armed Forces (FAM), they began, in January 2012, a
series of attacks against government forces in the north of the country (UN, 2020b).
From the EU side, two missions were sent within the framework of the Common Security
and Defence Policy (CSDP): the European Union Training Mission in Mali (EUTM Mali) and
the European Union Capacity Building Mission in Mali (EUCAP Sahel Mali). The first, sent
at the request of the Malian government in 2013, had as its main objective the training
and advising of the Malian Armed Forces in the fight against terrorism in the north of the
country (EEAS, 2020), while the second, sent in 2014, was sent with the purpose of
supporting the Malian police and security forces in reaffirming governmental authority
throughout the territory (EEAS, 2016).
Modern crises are characterized by complex interdependence, resulting from a
combination of historical, political, military, social, cultural, and economic factors.
Therefore, to understand the complex scenario of insecurity and instability in Mali, the
PMESII spectrum analysis model – political, military, economic, social, infrastructure, and
information factors – was used. This model is employed by NATO in complex operations
(NATO, 2019) to understand the nature of conflicts, human and organizational behaviour,
both of local populations and insurgents (Angelelli & Maymir-Ducharme, 2015). However,
one of the main difficulties observed during this analysis was the lack of official data,
partly due to the complexity of the country's current paradigm and, on the other hand,
due to the lack of current documentation on the factors under study.
PMESII Analysis
Political Factor
Mali, once considered a model of democracy on the African continent, has seen its
democratic system decline in recent decades. The events of 2012 were the most recent
illustration of the enduring tensions between the North and South of the country.