OBSERVARE
Universidade Autónoma de Lisboa
e-ISSN: 1647-7251
VOL. 16, Nº. 2, TD1
Thematic Dossier - Emerging Powers In-between
Global and Regional Organizations
December 2025
149
SOFT ANARCHY: BALANCING SOVEREIGNTY, REGIONALISM, AND
GLOBALIZATION
MEHMET RECAI UYGUR
mehmetrecai.uygur@smk.lt
Senior Researcher, SMK College of Applied Sciences, Vilnius (Lithuania). Orcid: 0000-
0003-1872-0885
YUSUF ZAKIR BASKIN
yusuf.zakir.baskin@gmail.com
Lecturer, Gendarmerie and Coast Guard Academy, Ankara, (Türkiye). Orcid:
0000-0002-4085-4022
FATIH TEKIN
fatihtekin@inonu.edu.tr
Research Assistant, Inonu University, Malatya (Türkiye). Orcid:0000-0003-2227-0784
Abstract
In the international relations discipline, arguably the most consequential divide in the system
is between anarchy and hierarchy. Although the international system is formally anarchic,
beneath its surface lies a persistent hierarchy. As Hedley Bull suggests, anarchy does not
produce chaos but an international society governed by norms, albeit one that often masks
the dominance of great powers. Thucydides’ Melian Dialogue captures this imbalance most
starkly. The example closest to our time is the United Nations Security Council, which
epitomises how, with the rhetoric of sovereignty, structural inequity is hidden. In contrast,
soft anarchy provides the opposite explanation: a system that permits cooperation without
the need to nullify the anarchic nature of global politics. Kenneth Waltz's structural realism
argues that states, in isolation, act to survive in a self-help ecosystem. Soft anarchy alters
this assumption; it emphasises that within regional platforms, power is allowed to be pooled.
Rather than being subordinated to a global hierarchy, states are able to act through regional
organisations. In this scenario, states are able to preserve sovereignty while enhanced
cooperation is achieved by many. The claim made by Alexander Wendt, ‘anarchy is what
states make of it’, supports this model, claiming that if the structure is socially constructed,
then it can be softened with regional agency. Thus, soft anarchy embodies Rousseau's notion
of collective will and Bull's ‘anarchical society’ rephrased to the regional level. Here, power
shifts from a zero-sum tool to a shared instrument of governance. The soft anarchy is not a
utopia; instead, utopia is to manage global volatility. It provides a concept where the world is
not still divided into 193 actors; rather, it is grouped into cooperative blocs with the capability
of restoring order. It is a form of invitation to perceive order in anarchy and cooperation within
sovereignty.
Keywords
Soft Anarchy, Regional Organisations, International Order, Anarchy and Hierarchy, Power and
Cooperation.
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e-ISSN: 1647-7251
VOL. 16, Nº. 2, TD1
Thematic Dossier - Emerging Powers In-between Global and Regional Organizations
December 2025, pp. 149-168
Soft Anarchy: Balancing Sovereignty, Regionalism, and Globalization
Mehmet Recai Uygur, Yusuf Zakir Baskın, Fatih Tekin
150
Resumo
Na disciplina das relações internacionais, pode argumentar-se que a divisão mais consequente
no sistema é entre anarquia e hierarquia. Embora o sistema internacional seja formalmente
anárquico, por baixo da sua superfície existe uma hierarquia persistente. Como sugere Hedley
Bull, a anarquia não produz caos, mas sim uma sociedade internacional governada por
normas, embora muitas vezes mascare o domínio das grandes potências. O Diálogo Meliano
de Tucídides capta este desequilíbrio de forma muito clara. O exemplo mais próximo do nosso
tempo é o Conselho de Segurança das Nações Unidas, que simboliza como, com a retórica da
soberania, a desigualdade estrutural é ocultada. Em contrapartida, a anarquia soft oferece a
explicação oposta: um sistema que permite a cooperação sem a necessidade de anular a
natureza anárquica da política global. O realismo estrutural de Kenneth Waltz argumenta que
os Estados, isoladamente, agem para sobreviver num ecossistema de autoajuda. A anarquia
soft altera essa suposição; ela enfatiza que, dentro das plataformas regionais, o poder pode
ser compartilhado. Em vez de se submeterem a uma hierarquia global, os Estados podem agir
por meio de organizações regionais. Nesse cenário, os Estados conseguem preservar a
soberania, enquanto muitos alcançam uma cooperação aprimorada. A afirmação de Alexander
Wendt, «a anarquia é o que os Estados fazem dela», apoia este modelo, alegando que, se a
estrutura é construída socialmente, então pode ser suavizada com a agência regional. Assim,
a anarquia suave incorpora a noção de Rousseau de vontade coletiva e a «sociedade
anárquica» de Bull reformulada para o vel regional. Aqui, o poder passa de uma ferramenta
de soma zero para um instrumento partilhado de governação. A anarquia suave não é uma
utopia; em vez disso, a utopia é gerir a volatilidade global. Ela fornece um conceito em que o
mundo não está mais dividido em 193 atores, mas sim agrupado em blocos cooperativos com
a capacidade de restaurar a ordem. É uma forma de convite para perceber a ordem na
anarquia e a cooperação dentro da soberania.
Palavras-chave
Anarquia soft, Organizações Regionais, Ordem Internacional, Anarquia e Hierarquia, Poder e
Cooperação.
How to cite this article
Uygur, Mehmet Recai, Baskın, Yusuf Zakir & Tekin, Fatih (2025). Soft Anarchy: Balancing
Sovereignty, Regionalism, and Globalization. Janus.net, e-journal of international relations.
Thematic Dossier - Emerging Powers In-between Global and Regional Organizations, VOL. 16, Nº.
2, TD1, December 2025, pp. 149-168. https://doi.org/10.26619/1647-7251.DT0525.8
Article submitted on 24th May 2025 and accepted for publication on 11st August 2025.
JANUS.NET, e-journal of International Relations
e-ISSN: 1647-7251
VOL. 16, Nº. 2, TD1
Thematic Dossier - Emerging Powers In-between Global and Regional Organizations
December 2025, pp. 149-168
Soft Anarchy: Balancing Sovereignty, Regionalism, and Globalization
Mehmet Recai Uygur, Yusuf Zakir Baskın, Fatih Tekin
151
SOFT ANARCHY: BALANCING SOVEREIGNTY, REGIONALISM, AND
GLOBALIZATION
MEHMET RECAI UYGUR
YUSUF ZAKIR BASKIN
FATIH TEKIN
Introduction
The international system has oriented itself as anarchic, or the absence of any central
authority to control relations among sovereign entities. This situation has been depicted,
for example, with close to 193 states, each of which operates in a self-help system
characterised by low trust and high conflict (Waltz, 1979). While symbolically grounded
in a UN figure, this snapshot betrays the more disorderly nature of world politics. The
contemporary international order is not merely a homogeneous plain filled with equal
sovereigns, but rather a diverse constellation of actors which includes: states, regional
entities, international organisations, multinational companies, non-profit organisations,
and even transnational epistemic networks (Barnett & Finnemore, 2004; Keohane & Nye,
1977). Apart from being anarchical, it is also messy, splintered, and lacking consistent
norms.
In this multifaceted domain, the traditional understanding of anarchy neglects how global
power is spatially organised and exercised. While there is no overarching single authority,
the notion of nearly 200 fragmented and hostile units errantly oversimplifies the world
and conceals emerging patterns of cooperation. This paper introduces soft anarchy as a
corrective: a vision of the international system where anarchy remains the central
structure, but is increasingly mediated by regional consolidation. Rather than viewing
global politics as a network of self-contained sovereign states, soft anarchy suggests a
framework in which authority is “zipped” into regional clusters 7 to 9 functional blocs
composed of cooperating states. These blocs are not sovereign-less; they serve to
streamline sovereignty into less chaotic and more durable structures.
In this newly organised configuration, the international order is not ruled by a world
state, nor does it exist in purely Hobbesian anarchical self-help terms. Instead, the
system is progressing toward a form of multilayered governance where regional powers
function as semi-autonomous stabilisers. These regional organisations counterbalance
disparities in power, promote mechanisms of trust, and facilitate cooperative action in a
plethora of domains such as trade, climate, migration, and security. These regional units
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VOL. 16, Nº. 2, TD1
Thematic Dossier - Emerging Powers In-between Global and Regional Organizations
December 2025, pp. 149-168
Soft Anarchy: Balancing Sovereignty, Regionalism, and Globalization
Mehmet Recai Uygur, Yusuf Zakir Baskın, Fatih Tekin
152
do not fully resolve anarchy, but transform itfrom an unregulated contest of all against
all to bounded pluralism where sovereignty is not relinquished but is exercised in relation
to others (Bull, 1977; Wendt, 1992).
Figure 1. International Anarchical System (Hard Anarchy)
Source: Created by authors
Figure 2. International Anarchical System (Soft Anarchy)
Source: Created by Authors
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Soft Anarchy: Balancing Sovereignty, Regionalism, and Globalization
Mehmet Recai Uygur, Yusuf Zakir Baskın, Fatih Tekin
153
The joint resilience of regions and states, accompanied by strong regional integration,
defines soft anarchy. The Morgenthau power theory is limited to the perceptions of
dividing power within states rather than governments clustering and sharing power
through regional orders. This shift offers new room to navigate between the idealism of
cosmopolitan governance and classical realism. As Kenneth Waltz claimed, states are
forced to maximise their capabilities due to the survival instinct in anarchy, while soft
anarchy counters that survival may also rely on strong regional interdependencies (Waltz,
1979).
This study employs a conceptual-analytical approach based on three frameworks: (1)
structural realism, to ground the argument within the enduring logic of anarchy; (2)
constructivism, specifically Wendt’s assertion that “anarchy is what states make of it”
(Wendt, 1992, p. 395), to posit that softening anarchy is a matter of agency; and (3) a
historical-institutionalist perspective to show the evolution of regional organizations as
responses to systemic fragmentation and hegemonic exhaustion (Ruggie, 1993). The
analysis, however, sustains the focus on empirical developments: the EU’s legal-political
machinery, ASEAN’s informal consensus culture, and the AU’s efforts at continental
solidarity.
This study does not seek to regionalize the world any more than it is, nor negate
competition between geopolitical forces. It seeks, instead, to reconstruct the
international system not as a brutalized stage of 193 disconnected sovereigns, but as a
contested and dynamic order of intersecting regional frameworks. In doing so, it attempts
to shift focus from the binaries of order versus anarchy; state versus institution;
sovereignty versus cooperation towards the edges of a more nuanced global anarchy.
To achieve empirical rigor and analytical precision, we now specify our methodological
framework and the criteria guiding case selection. A transparent delineation of our
regional examples serves to link the theoretical exposition of soft anarchy to a coherent,
systematically justified evidentiary base.
Methodology and Case Selection
This investigation is primarily conceptualanalytical, deploying a theory-driven case
illustration model to elucidate causal mechanisms (Ruggie, 1993; Barnett & Finnemore,
2004). We integrate structural realism (Waltz, 1979) and constructivist ontologies
(Wendt, 1992) within the tradition of the English School (Bull, 1977) and subsequently
scrutinize our propositions through regional organizations deliberately chosen to
maximize variation in institutional depth and norm-generating procedures.
Case-selection parameters.
We identify regional organizations along the following dimensions:
a. Institutional density, measured by the richness of rules, organs, and adjudicative
bodies;
b. Normative procedures, contrasting consensus with majority rule (Rosamond, 2014;
Jones, 2015);
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Soft Anarchy: Balancing Sovereignty, Regionalism, and Globalization
Mehmet Recai Uygur, Yusuf Zakir Baskın, Fatih Tekin
154
c. Policy ambit, encompassing security, trade, and social dimensions;
d. Enforcement potential, combining monitoring mechanisms and sanctioning abilities
(Hartzenberg, 2011);
e. Inclusiveness of membership and the resulting distributional consequences;
f. The presence and influence of a regional hegemon (Lake & Morgan, 1997; Reus-Smit,
2005); and
g. Mutually reinforcing interdependence (Keohane & Nye, 1977).
Illustrative cases
1- The European Union displays high institutional density and employs qualified
majority voting (Rosamond, 2014).
2- The Association of Southeast Asian Nations exhibits a low to medium density,
relies on consensus, and adheres to a norm of non-interference (Acharya, 2001;
Jones, 2015).
3- The African Union commands a continent-wide ambition, yet faces capacity
constraints and is in the process of refining its legal machinery (Bala, 2017;
Hartzenberg, 2011).
Caution in inference is warranted here. The examples provided are meant to clarify, not
to catalogue completely; they chart regions where soft anarchy seems credible and
regions where it falters. This approach trims conceptual uncertainty without venturing
into overly broad claims.
Soft Anarchy: Conceptual and Theoretical Foundations
Soft anarchy is best understood not as the negation of anarchy, but as its modulation
a reconfiguration of the anarchic condition through regional aggregation, institutional
buffering, and functional cooperation. Whereas classical anarchy refers to the absence of
a central authority over sovereign states leading to a system governed by self-help
and power balancing soft anarchy acknowledges that this structural void is increasingly
filled by regional platforms of coordination. These platforms do not impose hierarchy;
rather, they act as filters that diffuse conflict, mediate competition, and enable shared
governance in specific domains.
Soft Anarchy in the Triangle of Anarchy, Hierarchy, and the International
Community
Instead of an endpoint of a spectrum, soft anarchy is situated as one vertex of a triangle
formed by three forces: anarchy, hierarchy and the international system. Classically,
anarchy equates to statelessness with no structure, while hierarchy is the centre-
periphery distribution of authority found in empires or hegemonic stability models. The
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Soft Anarchy: Balancing Sovereignty, Regionalism, and Globalization
Mehmet Recai Uygur, Yusuf Zakir Baskın, Fatih Tekin
155
international community embodies shared norms, values, and rules which transcend
state egoism (Reus-Smit, 2005).
Soft anarchy retains these poles. It assumes the absence of global governance as a
baseline condition, and opposes a globalised hierarchy as unjust, unsustainable, and
morally bankrupt while accepting community engagement through regionalism
constructing legitimacy and order through politically defined bounded spaces which may
be cultural, historical, or functional. Although these bounded spaces offer no substitute
for global governance, they bolster pragmatic scaffolds toward approximating order in a
profoundly disordered world.
Soft anarchy intersects and builds upon big umbrella theories of International Relations
(IR) by reimagining anarchy from a universal chaotic concept to a regionally governable
one. It combines elements of realism, constructivism, and the English School to depict a
cooperative, multilayered and institutionally organised international system.
Kenneth Waltz’s structural realism (1979) is still perceived as one of the most significant
theories regarding the issue of international anarchy. Waltz emphasised that the
structure of the international system, with its relations of anarchy and distribution of
capabilities, determines the behaviour of states. From this view, self-help necessitated
competition and reduced survival to a focal point of strategic bonding among states. The
notion of soft anarchy, however, challenges this rigid formula. It accepts the framework
restrictions that Waltz outlines, but does not permit all states a uniform reaction. Within
regional frameworks, such as the European Union, security and survival are managed,
albeit institutionally, on a collective basissomething that is greatly under-theorised.
Moreover, soft anarchy, which assumes all states as functionally identical units,
introduces functional differentiation and posits that some states enjoy sheltered regional
arrangements while others have unrestricted exposure to structural forces.
In contrast, Hans Morgenthau's classical realism viewed international relations as an
enduring struggle for dominance stemming from human nature (1948). Morgenthau’s
theory postulates that power is perpetually competitive and cannot be shared. In this
framework, cooperation is weak and always subordinate to the pursuit of national
interest. Soft anarchy departs from this line of reasoning by offering a redefined notion
of power as a form of governance. In the context of regional institutions, power
transcends mere control to encompass shared responsibility and collective resilience.
The justification for soft anarchy draws from Alexander Wendt’s constructivist view,
“anarchy is what states make of it” (1992). Soft anarchy tries to break off from depicting
anarchy as a given and static, in a tangible substance, condition. It attempts to reframe
it as a social structure based on collective norms and identities. Organisations such as
ASEAN and the EU are crucial in changing hostile relationships into cooperative ones
through identity construction and norm diffusion.
Hedley Bull in The Anarchical Society (1977), suggested that states partake in a form of
sociation that is aligned to some societal norms of constitutive rules, diplomacy, and
mutual recognition. Soft anarchy expands upon Bull's ideas but concentrates on the
regions, thus moving the locus of order from global to regional. As global bodies like the
UN suffer more restrictions, regional bodies take on the normative and regulatory
functions that were once envisaged to be performed by a global society. In this context,
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Soft Anarchy: Balancing Sovereignty, Regionalism, and Globalization
Mehmet Recai Uygur, Yusuf Zakir Baskın, Fatih Tekin
156
soft anarchy preserves the ethical and institutional spirit of Bull’s work while restructuring
its governance framework to decentralised, regionally rooted governance.
Philosophical and historical perspectives
The ideas of Hobbes, Rousseau, and Thucydides have irrevocably influenced the order of
intellectual relations with their concepts on order, strife, and interaction, which have
become the focal point of consideration. Soft anarchy is not an outright dismissal of these
legacies, but rather attempts to resolve conflicts posited by them as a modern answer to
the age-old Power vs Peace, Autonomy vs Authority, or Realism vs Idealism duality. In
this manner, soft anarchy asserts itself as a philosophical advancement, no longer
premised on the assumption of a continuing “Pax Americana,” but instead drawing on
lessons from the past to address the challenges of an institutionally fragmented and
multipolar world.
From Hobbes’ State of Nature to Regional Constraint
The defining work on the consequences of anarchy remains Thomas Hobbes’ Leviathan,
published in 1651. In the absence of a supervising authority, people live in a state of
constant dread of violent death. For a long time, this metaphor has been extended to the
international level, where states are viewed as existing in a complete absence of a global
sovereign, plunging into perpetual chaos. “War of all against all” rationalises a self-
sustaining, militarised system based on deep-rooted distrust.
Hobbes provides the seeds of transformation as well. Instead of perpetual conflict, he
proposes the social contract a consensus which bestows surrender to a designated
power in exchange for assurance. Even if such a Leviathan doesn’t exist at the global
scale, soft anarchy globalized reinterpretation of Hobbes’ solution assumes not a singular
sovereign but a sprinkled collection of agreements within regionally divided frameworks.
In this case, these regional units do not act as absolute dominators, but as bounded
contract rules. Government decreases unpredictability and volatility while stabilizing
expectations as a miniature Leviathan in defined geographic and normative limits.
Soft anarchy does not disregard the Hobbesian system of thinking; it modifies it instead.
Even in the absence of a singular Leviathan, the international order as a whole function
through a network of semi-sovereign regional systems that uphold consent, constraint,
and collective security. Thus, Hobbes’ answer is not out of date; it has simply been
regionalized.
Rousseau's General Will and the Emergence of Regional Identity
Jean-Jacques Rousseau, unlike Hobbes, framed political legitimacy as resting not in fear,
but in the general will, which denotes a moral obligation that free and equal persons
contractually commit to. Participation in a polity is collective and, thus, constitutes a
shared political future. Therefore, his vision was deeply rooted in self-determination.
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Soft Anarchy: Balancing Sovereignty, Regionalism, and Globalization
Mehmet Recai Uygur, Yusuf Zakir Baskın, Fatih Tekin
157
Soft anarchy draws upon this Rousseauian ethic with regard to shared purpose and
regional identity. While the projection of general will may be difficult on a global scale, it
can certainly be meaningfully cultivated within regional blocs. The European Union serves
as an example; it is not a mere technocratic arrangement, but a political community
under construction in which states, while retaining sovereignty, decide to pursue shared
norms and a common future. The ASEAN bloc also marks an emerging consensus on
regional norms grounded in the logic of consultation and non-interference.
Thus, soft anarchy provides a new interpretation of Rousseau: sovereignty is not
abolished but reconfigured through voluntary regional agreements. These contracts come
close to approximating the general will, but not in a universal manner; instead, within
systems of functional coherence and normative convergence.
Regional organisations shaped by soft anarchy illustrate Rousseau’s insight that freedom
and unity are interdependent and mutually reinforcing through shared political identity,
economic interdependence, and institutional memory.
Thucydides and the Dialectic of Power and Restraint
The realist preoccupation with power and vulnerability in international relations is
grounded in Thucydides’ account of the Peloponnesian War, particularly the Melian
Dialogue: “the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must.” However,
today’s international system contests this dualistic view. It is no longer depopulated, self-
sufficient states existing in a flat anarchical system; rather, states increasingly dwell
within hierarchical regional blocs, which resemble extended political families. Such
entities, including the EU, ASEAN, and the African Union, transform threat perceptions
and redistribute power within shared structures of governance.
In a regionally structured system, unilateral aggression remains costly for the unilateral
aggressor, and as such, it would be deemed deviant behaviour. The logic behind the
system of interdependence encourages the establishment of a legal equilibrium, as well
as a latent collective identity, which mitigates the incentive of hegemony. Aggression
from one state tends to provoke a bloc defence response not only because of alliance
obligations, but also due to sociocultural expectations. The soft anarchy approach
neutralises the balance of power, embracing scholarly asymmetries while working to
counteract their influence through extensive collaboration.
This particular model represents the world as divided into regions where relations among
countries, albeit softened through collective governance, remain hierarchical. There still
exists a semblance of power, but it is increasingly diffused through the veil of institutional
legitimacy. Regionalism not only constructs a policy framework within a region; it
changes the rationality dynamics: intra-bloc rivalry becomes self-evidently irrational,
while external subjugation becomes ever more elusive.
Considering the changes which have occurred in the international system, starting from
Westphalia to the present-day post-hegemonic instability, it becomes apparent that
multilateral sovereignty is both fragmented and fluid. This movement is accompanied by
soft anarchy, which attempts to find balance between rigid nationalism and globalist
utopia. Soft anarchy supports regionalism and multi-layered governance as responses to
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Soft Anarchy: Balancing Sovereignty, Regionalism, and Globalization
Mehmet Recai Uygur, Yusuf Zakir Baskın, Fatih Tekin
158
disorder, where regional organisations act as stabilising anchors. Rather than intricate
blueprints, soft anarchy makes do with layers of adaptive processes of interdependence
created by countless actors who put in place overlapping frameworks of ordered structure
within disorder.
Similarities and Differences Between Kant’s Idea of Perpetual Peace and
the Concept of Soft Anarchy
One of Kant’s final philosophical works, Perpetual Peace, was published in 1795. In this
work, Kant outlines a blueprint for a universal peace that would encompass all global
citizens. Perpetual Peace is composed of six preliminary articles, three definitive articles,
and several appendices. The work, in its essence, reflects a political ambition aimed at
achieving lasting peace. Within the framework of political and ethical relations, Kant
identifies the conditions under which perpetual peace might be attained. The six
preliminary articles outlined in the first section of the work are as follows;
I. No Treaty of Peace Shall Be Held Valid in Which There Is Tacitly Reserved Matter
for a Future War
II. No Independent States, Large or Small, Shall Come under the Dominion of
Another State by Inheritance, Exchange, Purchase, or Donation
III. Standing Armies (miles pepetuus) shall in Time Be Totally Abolished
IV. National Debts Shall Not Be Contracted with a View to External Friction of States
V. No State Shall by Force Interfere with the Constitution or Government of Another
State
VI. No State Shall, during War, Permit Such Acts of Hostility Which Would Make
Mutual Confidence in the Subsequent Peace Impossible: Such Are the
Employment of Assassins, Poisoners, Breach of Capitulation, and Incitement to
Treason in the Opposing State
The second section of Perpetual Peace presents the definitive articles for achieving
perpetual peace, which are as follows:
I. The Civil Constitution of Every State Should Be Republican
II. The Law of Nations Shall be Founded on a Federation of Free States
III. The Law of World Citizenship Shall Be Limited to Conditions of Universal
Hospitality
In Perpetual Peace, Kant discusses important concepts of reason, the state, citizenship,
justice, law, legislation, and contract. He believes that the default state for individuals is
one of possible conflict, meaning that peace is something that needs political and legal
frameworks to be intentionally constructed. To Kant, individuals may be forced to follow
laws in order to avoid conflict. This aligns with the theory of soft anarchy, which argues
that the international system’s natural state is one of dormant conflict without a central
governing body. Soft anarchy stresses the need for regional cooperation and
organizations in the promotion of order and stability to deal with this issue.
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December 2025, pp. 149-168
Soft Anarchy: Balancing Sovereignty, Regionalism, and Globalization
Mehmet Recai Uygur, Yusuf Zakir Baskın, Fatih Tekin
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Both theories oppose hegemonic rule. Kant argues that no single state should dominate
another, and soft anarchy opposes the structure of the UN Security Council and the
hegemony of the five permanent members. Rather, soft anarchy favours a more
decentralized governance model through regional systems such as the European Union,
which operate on consensus or qualified majority voting.
Kant imagines a cosmopolitan legal framework founded on republican governments as
well as a global federation of states. On the other hand, soft anarchy posits that while
anarchy is persistent, it may be mitigated through rational institutional cooperation. The
EU and NATO serve as examples for Kant’s model. They provide more relevance and
practicality than Kant’s idealistic blueprint. To conclude, Kant’s Perpetual Peace offers a
distinctly utopian approach to global governance, while soft anarchy provides a more
realistic, grounded approach which acknowledges the existence of anarchy and attempts
to alleviate its prevalence.
Historical and Current Analyses of Regional Security Organisations
In the scope of international relations literature, two central criteria stand out in defining
a region. The first is material or geographic, which locates a region spatially on the world
map, most often a landmass or maritime area. From this perspective, a region is a
bounded geographic space containing two or more states (Mansfield & Milner, 1999). The
second criterion offers a more normative approach to regions, which, while still
geography-based, focuses on a dominant recurring system of interactions in trade,
security, and economics. These interactions are often due to common ethnic, cultural, or
religious ties (Hettne & Söderbaum, 2002).
Scholars have observed that regional organisations and regional integration movements
became more pronounced features of the international system after the 1950s (Fawcett,
2008). This was initially driven by Europe’s desire to overcome, or mitigate, the impact
of another brutal dispute in Europe after World War II, but the logic of regionalism
eventually spread everywhere. The historical development of regionalism can be
understood in two parts (Wunderlich, 2007). The first part, from the 1950s until the late
1980s, was characterised by the Cold War. The nature of international relations during
this time was survival-centric. States concentrated on their very existence, like worrying
about the proliferation of nuclear weapons and the deterrence strategy employed (Walt,
1991). All these gave rise to certain regional organisations like NATO, SEATO, CENTO,
and the Warsaw Pact, which focused mostly on addressing these daunting security
problems. Also, the EEC, while primarily aimed at economic integration, had a more
critical agenda of enhancing and ensuring adequate security so that no conflict could
arise in Europe (Erdoğan, 2008).
The second period, commencing in the 1980s, shifted focus from strategic priorities to
more economic ones. With the relaxation of Cold War tensions and the rise of
globalisation, the attention of regional organisations turned towards economies and
trade. There was a growing perception that regional integration would increase the
shared economic efficiency (Ateş, 2022). This period saw the creation of economic
organisations such as NAFTA, GAFTA, MERCOSUR, and APEC. The EU, ASEAN, AU, and
Arab League also deepened their frameworks to deal with comprehensive regional issues.
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While proximity is still the primary consideration in the establishment of regional
organisations, it is not the only one. More often, a combination of shared political,
economic, and social objectives is more determinative. Today, regional organisations can
be classified broadly into three main areas of concentration: political, economic, or
security. Political organisations cover wider scope issues, economic organisations focus
on fostering development and integration, while security organisations concentrate on
collective defence from internal and external aggression (Ateş, 2022).
Soft anarchy in the context of security and military cooperation
One of the mainstream theories in international relations, realism, interprets the
international system as an anarchic environment and considers states as the primary
actors in this anarchic setting. These actors, due to the anarchic structure of the
international system, seek to enhance their national power capabilities, leading to a
pursuit of power maximisation. As a result, this transforms into a power struggle where
"everyone is at war with everyone." Consequently, the "security dilemma" emerges
(Tang, 2009). According to Kenneth Waltz's Theory of International Politics, a balance of
power is necessary to prevent wars in an anarchic international system. It is assumed
that the balance of power between the United States and the Soviet Union during the
Cold War prevented a potential hot conflict. The concept of Soft Anarchy also emphasises
regional and collective security organisations as solutions to security issues arising from
the anarchic structure of the international system.
The Concept of Collective Security in the Soft Anarchy Model
The concepts of Soft Anarchy and Collective Security can be viewed as complementary
to each other. Collective security is a security strategy that provides deterrence. The
concept of collective security is based on the idea that every state within the system has
an equal right to security, and the goal is to ensure the security of all states. Collective
security is achieved when each member state activates its security elements against a
threatening state (Delahunty, 2007). The foundations of this concept of collective
security can be traced back to Kant's Perpetual Peace. This approach, realised with the
establishment of the League of Nations by U.S. President Woodrow Wilson, is now
represented by the United Nations. Collective security is based on the political positions
of states with the aim of maintaining and preserving peace in matters concerning global
security (Yılmaz, 2017)
In the concept of soft anarchy, collective security is achieved through regional security
organisations rather than a global federation. Cooperation and regional organisations
serve to mitigate hard anarchy and bring balance to the system. This balance also
prevents any single state or a few states from dominating the entire international system.
The concept of soft anarchy does not view security as a zero-sum game. The gain of one
state should not result in the loss of others. Soft anarchy approaches security as a win-
win situation. This reduces the security dilemma. To achieve this, cooperation, norms,
and measures that enhance security are required. This makes collective security possible.
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161
NATO, CSTO and Shanghai Cooperation Organisation: Regional Security
Perspectives
This section focuses on the NATO, CSTO and SCO regional security organisations,
detailing their formation and objectives on the basis of fostering cooperation and tackling
common challenges within the region.
The North Atlantic Treaty explicitly marks 4th of April 1949, as NATO’s founding date,
having been signed by 12 members with 32 countries as part of the alliance. Its major
goal is to safeguard the political and military freedom of all member states while
upholding collective defence. As prescribed in Article five of the founding treaty, all
members consider an armed conflict towards one member as an attack against the
alliance and are bound to aid the conflicted partner, whether politically or militarily. This
was only invoked during the 9/11 terror attacks on America (Sonmezoğlu et al., 2021;
NATO, 2025). NATO’s sole focus during the Cold War was combating the USSR’s
dominance and halting communism’s expansion (Armaoğlu, 1988). Post-Cold War, NATO
undertook new responsibilities of crisis management and peacekeeping, such as in Bosnia
and Kosovo. Presently, NATO also deals with terrorism, energy and cyber threats, as well
as the spread of arms (NATO, 2025).
Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan convened on May
15, 1992 and founded the CSTO in Tashkent. Article 4 of the treaty to establish the CSTO
states that aggression against one member is aggression towards all. Although originally
intended to foster political and military cooperation, the CSTO transformed into a regional
organisation in 2002, at which point it also received observer status at the UN General
Assembly. Its strategic priorities include collective defence, counterterrorism, border
security, and rapid response to crises (CSTO, 2025).
Formed by China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan in 1996, the "Shanghai
Five" became the SCO with the addition of Uzbekistan in 2001. While initially
concentrating on border issues, the SCO’s tasks broadened to fostering peace and
stability as well as a just international order. Emphasis is placed on mutual trust,
collective security, peaceful resolution of conflicts, and relations without confrontation.
Its security agenda targets transnational threats, focusing on terrorism, radicalism, and
separatism, termed by its members as the three main radical threats (Kutlu, 2021).
These organisations, as a collective unit, showcase the means by which regional
frameworks deal with intricate cross-border conflict through provisions of collective
defence, strategic cooperation, and adapting institutional methods based on the
geopolitical situation.
Regional Military Cooperation and Its Impact on the Global Balance of
Power
Regional security frameworks serve as important regional and global security actors in
the development of new centers of power (Lake & Morgan, 1997). They also help forge
alliances and counter prevailing powers. NATO during the Cold War strengthened Western
alliance resistance towards the Soviet Union and reinforced U.S. global leadership (Walt,
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1987). In response, socialist states formed the Warsaw Pact as a counterbalance to U.S.
sway.
These organizations help foster a multipolar international system as they create distinct
poles of power. Thus, NATO embodies the Western security structure's paralysis, while
the Shanghai Cooperation Organization stands as an antithesis to the Western-centered
disorder. Beyond mere cooperation on security, they provide normative frameworks and
act as balancing mechanisms to address asymmetries of power.
Global organizations influence others through collaboration. For instance, NATO has
worked with the United Nations on many missions. NATO's Operation Deliberate Force
during the Bosnian war in 1995, followed by NATO's IFOR and SFOR commands enforcing
the Dayton Agreement, is an example of this cross-institution collaboration (North
Atlantic Treaty Organization, 2024). Also, NATO KFOR in Kosovo operated under the UN
Security Council Resolution 1244 (Chesterman 2002). Furthermore, NATO’s ISAF mission
in Afghanistan under UN mandate demonstrates the intricate intertwining of local and
global efforts toward achieving security and illustrates the globalization of regionally
integrated” security policies.
Regional Organizations and the Soft Anarchy Model
The processes of regionalization and global governance have both expanded the
opportunities for collective action while maintaining state sovereignty. This situation
depicts a preliminary stage in the erosion of the traditional paradigm of international
anarchy. We witness the emergence of the European Union, ASEAN, and the African
Union as an early or “childhood” phase of the soft anarchy model. After the Cold War,
there was accelerating globalization, coupled with more complex international relations,
which altered the conception of “region. In spite of this, a lot of the literature on
regionalization still seems to be concerned with a static, bounded-by-geography
definition. In contrast to this view, regions are always being transformed and redefined
by economic and political as well as cultural processes (Levis & Wigen, 1997). Some
(Mansfield and Milner, 1997) stress geographic proximity, while others define it strictly
with preferential trade agreements (Winters, 1999).
The latest trends in regionalization are more complex than previously because they
include both identity and integrity formation alongside economic and security
considerations. The process follows “bottom-up” and “inside-out” patterns of ecological,
economic, and security concerns. There has been a shift into a multipolar world order
with the decline of American hegemony, which now includes significant non-state actor
participation in regionalization (Hettne, 1999).
Global governance is defined as an arrangement of states, international organizations,
private sectors, and civil societies that engage in sociopolitical decision-making at
multiple levels. The paradigm of global governance emerged in the 1990s as a reaction
to economic integration, post-socialist transitions, and the stagnation of the Western-
centric order (Murphy, 2014: 23-24). However, the persistence of inadequate solutions
to social injustice remains a challenge in broadening the scope of the concept.
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There is now a much clearer relationship between global governance and regionalisation.
They both involve multi-actor, multi-level frameworks that are distilled from local
realities. Regional organizations, the European Union, and ASEAN strive to foster peace,
democracy, human rights, and further economic integration. These regions enhance their
governance structures in response to global challenges, like climate change, migration,
and global health pandemics, which illustrates the interplay of regional and global
governance systems.
In terms of explaining the evolution of membership norms, conceptual approaches are
very useful for analyzing regional integration. Considered from a purely geographic or
cultural standpoint, boundaries are negotiated through the interactions of member
countries and supranational bodies. Through these negotiations, shared criteria are
established which determine state eligibility for membership, thus providing strong
political motivation at the time of application. There are two critical moments that I have
not yet covered, and that have received inadequate scholarly attention: the moment
when the members decide their criteria, and the moment they designate a certain state
as eligible. These decisions are politically important, even if they are not legal norms
(Thomas, 2021: 226).
The European Union represents a distinct and intricate model of regional integration.
Beginning with the Paris Treaty of 1951, the EU grew through normative and institutional
shifts into a system of multi-level governance. It incorporates European Commission
legislative proposals, the Council and Parliament co-decision process, the President of
the European Council’s strategic direction, and authoritative jurisprudence from the
European Court of Justice (Rosamond, 2014: 252). The EU moved beyond purely
economic objectives to social rights and citizenship policies, which in turn altered the
political and legal order. Deepened integration occurred through the 1957 Rome Treaties,
the 1965 Merger Treaty, and then the Maastricht Treaty, which expanded integration into
areas previously considered sovereign. Still, issues of democratic legitimacy, social
opposition, and differentiated integration demonstrate the EU's flexible and multi-layered
nature (Rosamond, 2014: 253254). With regard to competitive and financial services,
environmental protection, and competition, the EU remains a global normative power
(Rosamond, 2014: 256258).
Other regional models like ASEAN and the African Union (AU) provide alternative
pathways. ASEAN has realized considerable integration with its “ASEAN way.” It achieves
integration through consensus, emphasized consultation and non-interference
(Korwatanasakul, 2020; Ting & Yongkun, 2023). ASEAN has also enhanced regional
stability and prosperity through the ASEAN Free Trade Area and ASEAN Economic
Community, which facilitates the free movement of goods, services, investment, and
skilled labor (Durahman, 2016; Prajanto, 2022). It is also ASEAN’s “open regionalism”
policy that builds relationships with the rest of the world’s economic superpowers
(Pangestu & Ing, 2016).
The African Union (AU) has wider political and economic goals like achieving continental
integration and enhancing global relevance (Bala, 2017). Strengthening democracy,
governance, and development is further enabled by the Pan-African Parliament and
African Court on Human and Peoples’ Rights, as well as the African Union Commission.
The AU is active in politics and security, concentrating on preventative and remedial
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measures concerning conflicts. In addition, the AU encourages integration through the
African Continental Free Trade Area (Hartzenberg, 2011).
These regional frameworks defy conventional definitions of sovereignty and illustrate the
interaction of regionalism, national self-determination, and global integration (Holsti,
2016; He, 2004). The relationship is further heightened by technological innovations and
economic interdependence, which serve as both centripetal and centrifugal forces
(Baluev, 2014). EU, ASEAN, and Mercosur regional blocs amplify bargaining power,
although some transfer of authority is required (Pentland, 1975). There is still a lack of
balance in power and structural constraints; nonetheless, these models serve as early
indicators of “soft anarchy,” where some cooperative order is obtainable without
complete surrender of sovereignty. Should integration proceed, a future where soft
anarchy is more fully realized is possible.
Conclusion and Discussion
The international system is still formally anarchy, but now exists within a network of
states, regional blocs and transnational relations that is more intricate and
interconnected than ever. The soft anarchy model reclassifies this intricacy as not a loss
of sovereignty but a collective recalibration. Instead of absorbing anarchy through a
single central authority, it fosters cooperative regional clusters where power is shifted,
tempered, and redistributed.
“Strong vs. weak” distinctions become irrelevant within this framework, as once smaller
states are able to exert their influence, greater traditional structures provide access. The
EU, ASEAN, and African Union are examples of regional organisations that serve as new
forms of post-Westphalian order, lessening unilateralism and conflict. Order is maintained
without hierarchy within semi-autonomous, interlinked regions, as soft anarchy
propagates the horizontal distribution of power.
Soft anarchy reconceptualises economic and security disorder in the international system
as an arena in which overlapping regional norms and governance networks, rather than
a singular global authority, stabilise order while preserving state autonomy. Our
integrative model combines realist constraints (Waltz 1979) concerning the anarchically
competitive logic of survival; ontological securities and role conception (Wendt 1992);
and normative society-building processes (Bull 1977). Regionally concentrated goods
such as transnational trade security, counter-migration coordination, and uniform
collective defence raise sufficiently shared external perceptions that actors can
subordinate rival preferences to the management of common risks. Competently crafted
regional institutions can then narrow transaction costs, fortify commitment credibility,
and channel disputes into bounded adjudication. Structures that mediate between strict
majority and pure consensus, independent verification that discourages opportunistic
non-compliance, and redistributive mechanisms that mitigate asymmetries in gains
together fortify the model’s empirical purchase.
Nonetheless, soft anarchy encounters circumscribed applicability. Abstention on
demanding consensus may incapacitate a region at critical junctures; a singular hegemon
may skew institutional advantages and dictate asymmetrical costs; and indebtedness,
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literacy, or bureaucratic capacity may continue to circumscribe enforcement and policy
follow-through. Such weaknesses are magnified when intra-regional inequalities deny
vulnerable members distributive access to the produce of cooperation, or when secured
reputational legacies of historic conflict erode the reciprocal trust that reciprocity
theorists and security communities presuppose. Awareness of these disequilibria remains
vital, for the very governance frameworks that permit collective action may equally
consolidate hegemonic order and consolidate defects of marginalisation if not
continuously subjected to countervailing scrutiny and reform.
Scholarly attention should now turn to rigorously assessing the model’s claims in diverse
geographical contexts, prioritising the interplay between sovereignty pooling,
institutional density, and the differential capacity of governance structures to mitigate
conflict. For policymakers, the imperative is to construct regional frameworks in which
collective engagement emerges as the rational baseline, underpinned by rules and
redistribution mechanisms that render participation advantageous to every constituent
state. If calibrated to the empirical preconditions of any given milieu, the logic of soft
anarchy can furnish a credible trajectory toward regional stabilityone that recognises
the continuing presence of anarchy while directing its dynamics into institutionalised,
just, and durable patterns of order.
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